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Carlton Chin
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Carlton Chin, CFA, is Managing Director, Portfolio Strategy & Research at Price Asset Mgmt (PAM) and portfolio manager and head of research for ADAMAH Capital, which specializes in Computer Aided Research & Advanced Technology (CARAT). He is a specialist in quantitative investment... More
My company:
Price Asset Mgmt & ADAMAH / CARAT Capital
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Z-Trader
My book:
Baseball + Numbers = Fun & Games
  • Modeling March Madness as a Marketplace 1 comment
    Mar 14, 2011 11:36 AM
    The Financial Markets Program of the U of Chicago, together with Carlton Chin, a fund manager, devised a March Madness pool -- that models each game as a financial marketplace.  As a result, the pool is run "round-by-round."  

    The pool is free -- and open to all 
    (and several organizations have contributed prizes). Note that entries are due a few days earlier than most pools to generate closing price information (which is used to award points for correct selections).  
    • The official opening prices have been posted for the first round games.  
    • Closing prices for each game will be a function of market participant entries.
    • Entries may NOW be submitted for the first round games.  
    • First round selections are due at midnight, Tuesday, ET (March 15). 
    • Pricing can be used as a proxy for the probability of a team advancing to the next round.  
    For more information -- and to get your first round entries in -- please visit the March Madness link at CARATcapital.com.  

    Please also visit this summary of the March Madness Pool.
     
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  • Author’s reply » Some interesting info on the output of the March Madness pool. Modeling the games as a financial marketplace resulted in interesting -- and potentially useful -- probabilities.

     

    whowillwinthebiggame.b...
    17 Mar 2011, 11:35 AM Reply Like
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