Due to travel and computer issues, I missed some posts, but we should be back to normal posting now. The SP-500 dipped down earlier in the week and recovered to essentially close flat for the week (+0.09%). It is sitting at the recent resistance area of ~1370. The general market trading filter I use (SP-500 53 day CCI) is now at +99 indicating Market Up which is down from +106 last week. My multiple composite SP-500 indicators on the daily chart are both bullish, with the Blau Ergodic Composite Indicator bullish and the MACD composite bullish. The SP-500 index is down only ~0.28% from the recent May 2011 high of 1370. The CCI indicators at the right give a good indication of the market. At this time we see all bullish except for the IEF bond fund.
The Guppy Plot for the SP-500 Index remains very Bullish, after a dip down in the average slope of the Fast Moving Averages. The Fast Moving Averages are above the Slow Moving Averages. The average slope of the Fast Moving Averages and the average slope of the Slow Moving Averages, are both positive.The ADX components are bullish after a short move bearish, and the Stoch has moving back up.
We'll see what the next week brings. We don't try to forecast the market here, rather we just monitor the current conditions and react accordingly. I hope you find this blog helpful. If you do, why not leave a comment.
This week's Rankings are showing Sector Funds at the top which indicates a bullish market, but some bond funds are rising in the ranking so caution is needed. Ranking scores are color coded to indicate positive ranking scores (rate of change / volatility) in green, and negative ranking scores in red. Overall the list is sorted by overall rank but the score that makes up the rank can be positive or negative depending on the recent rate of change. The full list of the funds that are ranked can be found under the Funds tab. Current Rankings of the Funds can be found under the Rankings tab.
What Others are Saying (all free sites): Overall Bullish - Mixed
AAII Sentiment: 42% Bullish / 29% Neutral / 29% Bearish
Investors Intelligence: 48% Bullish / 27% Bearish
Barchart: 72% Buy (last week 96% Buy)
Bulkowski: Bullish (CPI= 91% - last week 84%)
Buy-Don't Hold: Sell (1)
MTR Investors Market Timing Model: Market Down
MyPlanIQ Trend Score: +7.51% (SPY +8.31% last week)
NYSE New High - New Low Cumulative: Bullish (see recent post)
US Stock New High - New Low Cumulative: Bullish (see recent post)
Stock Trends: Bullish
Wishing Wealth: Market Up (GMI-2 = 6/6)
TheWizard: Very Bullish (SP-500 Long Term Signal)
dshort.com: Invested (Note - monthly SP-500 10-EMA signal)
Click on Charts to Enlarge
|SP-500 Daily Chart for March 10, 2012|
|SP-500 Daily Guppy Chart for March 10, 2012|
Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.