mirkotoscano's  Instablog

mirkotoscano
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CFA member. In this blog I put my thoughts. Work in an Italian bank in a strategist position (forex and commodities), but my true passion is the stock market.
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Mirko Toscano - market view and trading signals
  • Correction Time 0 comments
    Oct 13, 2012 5:45 AM

    I've not been writing since few weeks because I was quite busy in the weekends. This one will be a short post as well.

    Market is in a correction mode, after many distributions days happened in last few weeks. Nasdaq was the index with most selling pressure, entered in a correction move after dropped below 2750.

    (click to enlarge)Nasdaq 100

    The thing I don' t like at the moment is that, when I search for leader growth stocks, I see some distribution patterns.

    It sounds like a deeper correction could arrive in the next 1-2weeks. I think it will be temporary because of "Bernanke put" on the market, ie the governor will announce new measures if markets drop heavily.

    So far this is what I see on several markets:

    -US indexes seems due to a short term correction

    -European indexes could do the same because of Spain bailout delay and Greece news.

    -Investors are continuing to buy European peripherical government bonds (Spain, Italy), corporate and emerging market bonds

    - Precious metals could consolidate/correct in the short term (buy on dip); oil could drop if US Administration releases strategic reserves to help Obama before of elections (buy a put on USO).

    -Treasuries could be interesting in the short term

    It seems like a short phase of "Risk off" is coming, but probably will be quite shallow because of huge liquidity in the market and very high level of cash held by funds.

    Like a fisher, I am patiently waiting the right moment trying to pick up a fish.

    I'm studying some stocks names, but don't like patterns associated at the moment.

    My target is to buy in the short term future gold/silver, European Etf dividend stocks and pick 2-3 stocks.

    At the moment I'm long corporate and emerging market bonds, i sold all precious and equity.

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