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Stocks for the Long Run?

Jul. 29, 2009 6:30 PM ET2 Comments
Geoff Considine profile picture
Geoff Considine's Blog
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I have recently written an article on Advisor Perpectives that looks at the risk of under-performance in equities over extended periods of time:

The Retirement Portfolio Showdown: Zvi Bodie vs. Jeremy Siegel

I am increasingly struck by the fact that people do not understand Bodie's key point with regard to equity risk--that while the probability of under-performing bonds decreases with holding period, the risks of severe under-performance increases. Bodie's thesis (published in 1995) is well worth understanding. Bodie concludes that stocks are too risky for retirement planning, but I do not find that this is the case. That said, the potential for long-term under-performance of equities is real, and investors need to be aware of this.

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