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With hedge fund manager, CNBC regular and long-time veteran of the Russian markets Tim Seymour at the helm, Emerging Money (http://www.emergingmoney.com) provides education, trading analysis and comprehensive views of emerging markets around the world. As economies in the BRIC group and beyond... More
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  • Copper could have legs for the rest of the year 0 comments
    Oct 26, 2010 9:43 AM | about stocks: BHP, VALE, FCX, JJC

    Major copper producers say prices for the key industrial metal will likely remain strong at least for the remainder of 2010 as emerging markets demand continues to hold firm.

    Rio Tinto (RIO,) and Chilean giant Codelco (not traded in ADR form) have separately confirmed that as far as they can tell, demand for copper should persist at levels slightly more robust than what the industry can currently supply. In fact, RIO in particular estimates that the global copper industry will need to come up with the capacity to produce another 6 million tons of copper over the next 10 years, and that about half of that capacity will come from projects in the emerging world.

    On the demand side, Codelco expects China to keep consuming roughly as much copper as it does now -- perhaps slightly more -- while the big story will be a slow recovery in North America and Europe. Like many market players, the company expected Chinese demand to slow in the third quarter, but this never happened. As a result, Codelco believes next year will be even better for copper than this year -- which is winding down with prices at two-year highs -- and with somewhat less downside risk.

    If so, this would be great news for producers like BHP and FCX as well as RIO. It would also be bullish for the copper ETF JJC:





    Disclosure: no positions
    Themes: Copper, China demand, commmodities Stocks: BHP, VALE, FCX, JJC
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