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Steve Hach
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Steve Hach is the Senior Editor at ValuEngine.com, a Newtown, Pennsylvania-based stock valuation and forecast service. ValuEngine utilizes Ivy League financial research as the basis for its coverage of more than 7000 US, Japanese, and Canadian, and other foreign stocks. Hach utilizes... More
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  • Retail Stocks Ranked And Rated By ValuEngine Just In Time For Holidays 0 comments
    Dec 7, 2012 4:09 PM | about stocks: SHLD, ZLC, MFRM, VRA, KSS, GPS, LL, BBY, RNDY, HD, GME, M, ASNA, DRI, TUES, NFLX, BIOS, RT, OSTK

    MARKET OVERVIEW

    Index

    Week Open

    Thurs. Close

    Change

    % Change

    YTD

    DJIA

    13027.73

    13074.04

    46.31

    0.36%

    7.35%

    NASDAQ

    3029.21

    2989.27

    -39.94

    -1.32%

    14.68%

    RUSSELL 2000

    825.87

    821.79

    -4.08

    -0.49%

    11.29%

    S&P 500

    1416.34

    1413.94

    -2.4

    -0.17%

    12.62%

     

     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe

     

     

    Stocks Undervalued

    60.83%

    Stocks Overvalued

    39.17%

    Stocks Undervalued by 20%

    22.93%

    Stocks Overvalued by 20%

    12.19%

    SECTOR OVERVIEW

    Sector

    Change

    MTD

    YTD

    Valuation

    Last 12-MReturn

    P/E Ratio

    Aerospace

    0.14%

    -1.16%

    4.44%

    6.39% overvalued

    3.54%

    14.57

    Auto-Tires-Trucks

    -0.42%

    -0.13%

    14.03%

    6.05% undervalued

    6.22%

    13.2

    Basic Materials

    0.20%

    -0.15%

    0.28%

    6.14% undervalued

    -21.56%

    22.61

    Business Services

    -0.15%

    0.54%

    9.77%

    4.06% overvalued

    6.05%

    23.96

    Computer and Technology

    0.49%

    0.75%

    35.16%

    4.21% overvalued

    1.17%

    33.97

    Construction

    -0.06%

    -1.79%

    62.83%

    12.57% overvalued

    30.05%

    46.85

    Consumer Discretionary

    0.20%

    0.31%

    13.95%

    0.78% overvalued

    6.60%

    25.06

    Consumer Staples

    0.16%

    0.06%

    15.16%

    14.14% overvalued

    9.32%

    19.1

    Finance

    0.03%

    0.11%

    29.99%

    8.22% overvalued

    14.71%

    19.32

    Industrial Products

    0.19%

    0.06%

    8.52%

    8.05% overvalued

    3.49%

    19.96

    Medical

    0.01%

    -0.76%

    25.13%

    2.75% overvalued

    9.45%

    36.65

    Multi-Sector Conglomerates

    -0.75%

    0.92%

    11.57%

    6.33% undervalued

    15.59%

    13.03

    Oils-Energy

    -0.56%

    -1.39%

    -7.16%

    5.32% undervalued

    -13.17%

    28.92

    Retail-Wholesale

    0.06%

    -0.24%

    20.42%

    9.49% overvalued

    16.28%

    24.93

    Transportation

    0.11%

    -0.01%

    12.39%

    10.15% overvalued

    0.92%

    18.85

    Utilities

    -0.10%

    -0.60%

    -5.91%

    4.17% overvalued

    1.97%

    18.05

    Sector Talk-Retail

    Below, we present the latest data on leading Retail Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

    Top-Five Retail Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    SHLD

    SEARS HLDG CP

    40.25

    -25.25

    -32.91

    ZLC

    ZALE CORP NEW

    4.6

    -65.52

    20.42

    MFRM

    MATTRESS FIRM

    23.04

    -28.76

    3.83

    VRA

    VERA BRADLEY

    23.14

    -22.79

    -37.73

    KSS

    KOHLS CORP

    44.03

    -17.59

    -11.46

    Top-Five Retail Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    GPS

    GAP INC

    31.96

    -1.05

    72.66

    LL

    LUMBER LIQUIDAT

    51.8

    -1.96

    201.69

    BBY

    BEST BUY

    12.36

    -47.3

    -54.64

    RNDY

    ROUNDYS INC

    4.84

    -13.59

    N/A

    HD

    HOME DEPOT

    64.34

    13.62

    63.05

    Top-Five Retail Sector Stocks--Composite Score

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    GME

    GAMESTOP CORP

    26.64

    -10.86

    18.45

    M

    MACYS INC

    38.92

    -7.82

    20.35

    ASNA

    ASCENA RETAIL

    18.93

    -10.99

    33.41

    DRI

    DARDEN RESTRNT

    47.04

    -13.5

    16.7

    GPS

    GAP INC

    31.96

    -1.05

    72.66

    Top-Five Retail Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    TUES

    TUESDAY MORNING

    6

    291.6

    85.76

    NFLX

    NETFLIX INC

    86.17

    213.41

    26.46

    BIOS

    BIOSCRIP INC

    10.85

    88.54

    84.84

    RT

    RUBY TUESDAY

    7.76

    82.09

    8.99

    OSTK

    OVERSTOCK.COM

    14.39

    62.01

    84.25

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

    Themes: retail Stocks: SHLD, ZLC, MFRM, VRA, KSS, GPS, LL, BBY, RNDY, HD, GME, M, ASNA, DRI, TUES, NFLX, BIOS, RT, OSTK
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