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Steve Hach is the Senior Editor at ValuEngine.com, a Newtown, Pennsylvania-based stock valuation and forecast service. ValuEngine utilizes Ivy League financial research as the basis for its coverage of more than 7000 US, Japanese, and Canadian, and other foreign stocks. Hach utilizes... More
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  • Consumer Staples Stocks Top-5 Lists 0 comments
    Mar 28, 2013 4:09 PM | about stocks: MNST, SCHL, ABEV, LO, PM, TAP, MHFI, JRN, RAI, CAG, AM-OLD, SSP, HSH, CSV, DMND

    VALUATION WATCH: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up 63% of our universe and almost 28% of the universe is calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. 13 of 16 sectors are calculated to be overvalued--14 out of 16 by double digits.

    MARKET OVERVIEW

    Index

    Week Open

    Wed Close

    Change

    % Change

    YTD

    DJIA

    14512.03

    14526.16

    14.13

    0.10%

    11.02%

    NASDAQ

    3255.85

    3256.52

    0.67

    0.02%

    7.80%

    RUSSELL 2000

    948.63

    950.24

    1.61

    0.17%

    11.90%

    S&P 500

    1556.89

    1562.85

    5.96

    0.38%

    9.61%

     

     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe

     

     

    Stocks Undervalued

    36.53%

    Stocks Overvalued

    63.47%

    Stocks Undervalued by 20%

    15.22%

    Stocks Overvalued by 20%

    27.98%

    SECTOR OVERVIEW

    Sector

    Change

    MTD

    YTD

    Valuation

    Last 12-MReturn

    P/E Ratio

    Aerospace

    0.47%

    3.75%

    10.27%

    10.53% overvalued

    5.61%

    14.25

    Auto-Tires-Trucks

    -0.25%

    1.02%

    6.83%

    14.88% overvalued

    0.26%

    15.95

    Basic Materials

    -0.13%

    2.02%

    4.14%

    3.82% undervalued

    -28.47%

    18.62

    Business Services

    -0.14%

    4.14%

    11.82%

    13.83% overvalued

    14.03%

    21.29

    Computer and Technology

    -0.03%

    2.44%

    11.08%

    15.20% overvalued

    -1.95%

    26.47

    Construction

    0.90%

    4.49%

    14.11%

    22.27% overvalued

    20.73%

    26.12

    Consumer Discretionary

    -0.13%

    5.12%

    14.30%

    11.57% overvalued

    6.13%

    22.32

    Consumer Staples

    -0.14%

    4.12%

    9.90%

    25.99% overvalued

    8.31%

    19.68

    Finance

    -0.02%

    2.75%

    11.94%

    18.02% overvalued

    11.77%

    17.86

    Industrial Products

    -0.08%

    4.64%

    13.80%

    17.54% overvalued

    2.80%

    18.55

    Medical

    0.01%

    3.60%

    11.81%

    11.75% overvalued

    5.69%

    23.55

    Multi-Sector Conglomerates

    -0.07%

    1.13%

    5.90%

    8.63% overvalued

    4.51%

    15.79

    Oils-Energy

    -0.27%

    0.86%

    7.86%

    6.83% overvalued

    -13.75%

    25.68

    Retail-Wholesale

    -0.06%

    5.03%

    16.19%

    17.61% overvalued

    11.10%

    20.44

    Transportation

    -0.06%

    5.01%

    19.81%

    25.34% overvalued

    5.13%

    19.92

    Utilities

    -0.39%

    1.61%

    6.00%

    12.89% overvalued

    3.31%

    17.93

    Sector Talk-Consumer Staples

    Below, we present the latest data on leading Consumer Discretionary Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (Pending:VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

    Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    MNST

    MONSTER BEVERAG

    48.01

    -12.32

    -22.42

    SCHL

    SCHOLASTIC CORP

    26.48

    -5.35

    -27.35

    ABV

    AMBEV-PR ADR

    41.85

    12.52

    -3.35

    LO

    LORILLARD CO

    40.44

    -4.62

    -7.97

    PM

    PHILIP MORRIS

    92

    0.39

    5.12

    Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    MNST

    MONSTER BEVERAG

    48.01

    -12.32

    -22.42

    SCHL

    SCHOLASTIC CORP

    26.48

    -5.35

    -27.35

    ABV

    AMBEV-PR ADR

    41.85

    12.52

    -3.35

    LO

    LORILLARD CO

    40.44

    -4.62

    -7.97

    PM

    PHILIP MORRIS

    92

    0.39

    5.12

    Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Composite Score

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    TAP

    MOLSON COORS-B

    48.49

    -1.52

    7.16

    MHP

    MCGRAW-HILL COS

    50.46

    -3.85

    6.21

    JRN

    JOURNAL COMM-A

    6.65

    -0.2

    20.91

    RAI

    REYNOLDS AMER

    44.45

    4.05

    7.47

    CAG

    CONAGRA FOODS

    35.59

    10.85

    35.84

    Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    AM

    AMER GREETINGS

    16.41

    300

    4.79

    SSP

    EW SCRIPPS CO

    12.03

    185.13

    20.42

    HSH

    HILLSHIRE BRAND

    34.78

    104.28

    N/A

    CSV

    CARRIAGE SVCS-A

    21.12

    88.2

    190.11

    DMND

    DIAMOND FOODS

    16.76

    55.11

    -27.1

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

    Themes: consumer staples Stocks: MNST, SCHL, ABEV, LO, PM, TAP, MHFI, JRN, RAI, CAG, AM-OLD, SSP, HSH, CSV, DMND
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