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Airlines Dominate Transports--ValuEngine Top-5 Lists

|Includes:ARII, AYR, DAL, DSX, GOGL, GOL, LUV, NM, SAVE, UAL, XPO, YRC Worldwide, Inc. (YRCW)

VALUATION WATCH: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up 63% of our universe and almost 28% of the universe is calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. 13 of 16 sectors are calculated to be overvalued--14 out of 16 by double digits.

MARKET OVERVIEW

Index

Week Open

Thurs Close

Change

% Change

YTD

DJIA

14578.54

14606.11

27.57

0.19%

10.32%

NASDAQ

3268.63

3224.98

-43.65

-1.34%

5.26%

RUSSELL 2000

951.41

925.66

-25.75

-2.71%

7.48%

S&P 500

1569.18

1559.98

-9.2

-0.59%

8.14%

 

 

Summary of VE Stock Universe

 

 

Stocks Undervalued

43.83%

Stocks Overvalued

56.17%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

16.61%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

21.05%

SECTOR OVERVIEW

Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-MReturn

P/E Ratio

Aerospace

0.10%

-1.02%

9.52%

8.46% overvalued

3.52%

14.64

Auto-Tires-Trucks

0.63%

-1.50%

5.45%

4.29% overvalued

-2.49%

15.77

Basic Materials

0.32%

-3.51%

1.30%

7.11% undervalued

-31.54%

18.74

Business Services

0.11%

-2.64%

9.16%

9.61% overvalued

11.55%

20.81

Computer and Technology

0.42%

-2.33%

8.03%

10.26% overvalued

-2.34%

25.01

Construction

0.58%

-2.37%

13.27%

17.00% overvalued

20.42%

23.46

Consumer Discretionary

0.19%

-1.38%

13.17%

5.58% overvalued

6.75%

22.44

Consumer Staples

0.04%

-1.80%

8.70%

16.06% overvalued

8.86%

19.98

Finance

0.53%

-0.70%

11.37%

13.97% overvalued

11.27%

17.52

Industrial Products

0.31%

-3.06%

10.34%

8.24% overvalued

0.01%

17.6

Medical

0.21%

-1.09%

10.96%

7.83% overvalued

7.55%

22.52

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

0.39%

-1.64%

3.18%

2.81% overvalued

3.30%

14.92

Oils-Energy

-0.29%

-3.45%

3.87%

3.06% overvalued

-15.67%

23.95

Retail-Wholesale

0.78%

-0.63%

16.51%

13.30% overvalued

13.27%

20.5

Transportation

-0.06%

-3.51%

15.37%

18.23% overvalued

1.49%

20.29

Utilities

0.69%

-0.73%

5.97%

8.80% overvalued

4.20%

17.82

Sector Talk-Transportation

Below, we present the latest data on leading Consumer Discretionary Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (Pending:VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

AAMRQ

AMR CORP

3.56

-39.93

623.58

YRCW

YRC WORLDWD INC

6.89

-75

3.92

UAL

UNITED CONT HLD

29.3

-75

36.28

LUV

SOUTHWEST AIR

12.8

5.05

55.34

DAL

DELTA AIR LINES

14.75

28.21

48.76

Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

AAMRQ

AMR CORP

3.56

-39.93

623.58

YRCW

YRC WORLDWD INC

6.89

-75

3.92

UAL

UNITED CONT HLD

29.3

-75

36.28

LUV

SOUTHWEST AIR

12.8

5.05

55.34

DAL

DELTA AIR LINES

14.75

28.21

48.76

Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

AAMRQ

AMR CORP

3.56

-39.93

623.58

UAL

UNITED CONT HLD

29.3

-75

36.28

SAVE

SPIRIT AIRLINES

25.51

-75

27.11

ARII

AMER RAILCAR

41.04

-3.02

74.56

AYR

AIRCASTLE LTD

13.57

-27.16

10.87

Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

DSX

DIANA SHIPPING

9.66

300

7.93

NM

NAVIOS MARI HLD

4.31

300

2.62

VLCCF

KNIGHTSBRIDGE

7.53

141.37

-47.64

GOL

GOL LINHAS-ADR

5.43

132.15

-19.32

XPO

XPO LOGISTICS

16.71

126.2

-0.54

Stocks: YRCW, UAL, LUV, DAL, SAVE, ARII, AYR, DSX, NM, GOGL, GOL, XPO