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Steve Hach is the Senior Editor at ValuEngine.com, a Newtown, Pennsylvania-based stock valuation and forecast service. ValuEngine utilizes Ivy League financial research as the basis for its coverage of more than 7000 US, Japanese, and Canadian, and other foreign stocks. Hach utilizes... More
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  • Airlines Dominate Transports--ValuEngine Top-5 Lists 0 comments
    Apr 5, 2013 3:20 PM | about stocks: YRCW, UAL, LUV, DAL, SAVE, ARII, AYR, DSX, NM, VLCCF, GOL, XPO

    VALUATION WATCH: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up 63% of our universe and almost 28% of the universe is calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. 13 of 16 sectors are calculated to be overvalued--14 out of 16 by double digits.

    MARKET OVERVIEW

    Index

    Week Open

    Thurs Close

    Change

    % Change

    YTD

    DJIA

    14578.54

    14606.11

    27.57

    0.19%

    10.32%

    NASDAQ

    3268.63

    3224.98

    -43.65

    -1.34%

    5.26%

    RUSSELL 2000

    951.41

    925.66

    -25.75

    -2.71%

    7.48%

    S&P 500

    1569.18

    1559.98

    -9.2

    -0.59%

    8.14%

     

     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe

     

     

    Stocks Undervalued

    43.83%

    Stocks Overvalued

    56.17%

    Stocks Undervalued by 20%

    16.61%

    Stocks Overvalued by 20%

    21.05%

    SECTOR OVERVIEW

    Sector

    Change

    MTD

    YTD

    Valuation

    Last 12-MReturn

    P/E Ratio

    Aerospace

    0.10%

    -1.02%

    9.52%

    8.46% overvalued

    3.52%

    14.64

    Auto-Tires-Trucks

    0.63%

    -1.50%

    5.45%

    4.29% overvalued

    -2.49%

    15.77

    Basic Materials

    0.32%

    -3.51%

    1.30%

    7.11% undervalued

    -31.54%

    18.74

    Business Services

    0.11%

    -2.64%

    9.16%

    9.61% overvalued

    11.55%

    20.81

    Computer and Technology

    0.42%

    -2.33%

    8.03%

    10.26% overvalued

    -2.34%

    25.01

    Construction

    0.58%

    -2.37%

    13.27%

    17.00% overvalued

    20.42%

    23.46

    Consumer Discretionary

    0.19%

    -1.38%

    13.17%

    5.58% overvalued

    6.75%

    22.44

    Consumer Staples

    0.04%

    -1.80%

    8.70%

    16.06% overvalued

    8.86%

    19.98

    Finance

    0.53%

    -0.70%

    11.37%

    13.97% overvalued

    11.27%

    17.52

    Industrial Products

    0.31%

    -3.06%

    10.34%

    8.24% overvalued

    0.01%

    17.6

    Medical

    0.21%

    -1.09%

    10.96%

    7.83% overvalued

    7.55%

    22.52

    Multi-Sector Conglomerates

    0.39%

    -1.64%

    3.18%

    2.81% overvalued

    3.30%

    14.92

    Oils-Energy

    -0.29%

    -3.45%

    3.87%

    3.06% overvalued

    -15.67%

    23.95

    Retail-Wholesale

    0.78%

    -0.63%

    16.51%

    13.30% overvalued

    13.27%

    20.5

    Transportation

    -0.06%

    -3.51%

    15.37%

    18.23% overvalued

    1.49%

    20.29

    Utilities

    0.69%

    -0.73%

    5.97%

    8.80% overvalued

    4.20%

    17.82

    Sector Talk-Transportation

    Below, we present the latest data on leading Consumer Discretionary Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

    Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    AAMRQ

    AMR CORP

    3.56

    -39.93

    623.58

    YRCW

    YRC WORLDWD INC

    6.89

    -75

    3.92

    UAL

    UNITED CONT HLD

    29.3

    -75

    36.28

    LUV

    SOUTHWEST AIR

    12.8

    5.05

    55.34

    DAL

    DELTA AIR LINES

    14.75

    28.21

    48.76

    Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    AAMRQ

    AMR CORP

    3.56

    -39.93

    623.58

    YRCW

    YRC WORLDWD INC

    6.89

    -75

    3.92

    UAL

    UNITED CONT HLD

    29.3

    -75

    36.28

    LUV

    SOUTHWEST AIR

    12.8

    5.05

    55.34

    DAL

    DELTA AIR LINES

    14.75

    28.21

    48.76

    Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Composite Score

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    AAMRQ

    AMR CORP

    3.56

    -39.93

    623.58

    UAL

    UNITED CONT HLD

    29.3

    -75

    36.28

    SAVE

    SPIRIT AIRLINES

    25.51

    -75

    27.11

    ARII

    AMER RAILCAR

    41.04

    -3.02

    74.56

    AYR

    AIRCASTLE LTD

    13.57

    -27.16

    10.87

    Top-Five Transportation Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    DSX

    DIANA SHIPPING

    9.66

    300

    7.93

    NM

    NAVIOS MARI HLD

    4.31

    300

    2.62

    VLCCF

    KNIGHTSBRIDGE

    7.53

    141.37

    -47.64

    GOL

    GOL LINHAS-ADR

    5.43

    132.15

    -19.32

    XPO

    XPO LOGISTICS

    16.71

    126.2

    -0.54

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