Seeking Alpha

Steve Hach's  Instablog

Steve Hach
Send Message
Steve Hach is the Senior Editor at ValuEngine.com, a Newtown, Pennsylvania-based stock valuation and forecast service. ValuEngine utilizes Ivy League financial research as the basis for its coverage of more than 7000 US, Japanese, and Canadian, and other foreign stocks. Hach utilizes... More
My company:
ValuEngine
  • Retail - Wholesale Stocks Ranked And Rated By ValuEngine.com 0 comments
    Jun 14, 2013 2:55 PM | about stocks: CBD, LULU, RAVE, CNCO, SSI, SPLS, HLF, PMC, SVU, JMBA, WFM, KATE, BIOS

    VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up 70% of our universe and 31% of the universe is calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. 15 of 16 sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

    MARKET OVERVIEW

    Index

    Week Open

    Thurs Close

    Change

    % Change

    YTD

    DJIA

    15247.81

    15176.08

    -71.73

    -0.47%

    15.92%

    NASDAQ

    3475.68

    3445.36

    -30.32

    -0.87%

    15.04%

    RUSSELL 2000

    989.63

    989.69

    0.06

    0.01%

    16.54%

    S&P 500

    1644.67

    1636.36

    -8.31

    -0.51%

    14.91%

     

     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe

     

     

    Stocks Undervalued

    30.04%

    Stocks Overvalued

    69.96%

    Stocks Undervalued by 20%

    10.75%

    Stocks Overvalued by 20%

    31.01%

    SECTOR OVERVIEW

    Sector

    Change

    MTD

    YTD

    Valuation

    Last 12-MReturn

    P/E Ratio

    Aerospace

    0.31%

    -0.16%

    20.90%

    19.11% overvalued

    32.03%

    17.72

    Auto-Tires-Trucks

    1.21%

    1.82%

    26.75%

    19.84% overvalued

    30.96%

    18.55

    Basic Materials

    1.43%

    -1.48%

    1.08%

    6.79% undervalued

    -25.20%

    19.52

    Business Services

    1.20%

    0.42%

    15.99%

    9.92% overvalued

    23.71%

    21.32

    Computer and Technology

    1.02%

    0.81%

    18.62%

    21.35% overvalued

    15.58%

    28.01

    Construction

    2.24%

    0.12%

    25.47%

    10.98% overvalued

    35.79%

    22.65

    Consumer Discretionary

    0.97%

    0.28%

    22.59%

    12.06% overvalued

    24.90%

    23.7

    Consumer Staples

    0.99%

    1.09%

    12.56%

    14.27% overvalued

    18.40%

    19.89

    Finance

    1.19%

    0.04%

    18.75%

    15.28% overvalued

    19.69%

    17.2

    Industrial Products

    1.10%

    -0.53%

    20.42%

    11.97% overvalued

    23.00%

    18.66

    Medical

    0.85%

    1.20%

    20.66%

    15.69% overvalued

    19.36%

    25.72

    Multi-Sector Conglomerates

    1.04%

    -1.62%

    3.98%

    5.19% overvalued

    16.35%

    14.81

    Oils-Energy

    1.10%

    0.08%

    10.15%

    7.51% overvalued

    4.45%

    26.53

    Retail-Wholesale

    1.18%

    0.94%

    27.23%

    21.35% overvalued

    31.05%

    22.13

    Transportation

    1.18%

    -1.03%

    21.71%

    19.11% overvalued

    16.87%

    20.08

    Utilities

    1.15%

    -0.07%

    9.11%

    8.51% overvalued

    9.12%

    19.1

    Sector Talk-Retail/Wholesale

    Below, we present the latest data on leading Retail/Wholesale Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (Pending:VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    CBD

    PAO ACUCAR-GDR

    46.92

    -16.92

    26.03

    LULU

    LULULEMON ATHLT

    66.84

    -15.2

    7.95

    PZZI

    PIZZA INN HLDGS

    5.17

    N/A

    127.75

    CNCO

    CENCOSUD SA-ADR

    14.36

    -12.32

    N/A

    SSI

    STAGE STORES

    22.64

    9.47

    35.89

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    CBD

    PAO ACUCAR-GDR

    46.92

    -16.92

    26.03

    LULU

    LULULEMON ATHLT

    66.84

    -15.2

    7.95

    PZZI

    PIZZA INN HLDGS

    5.17

    N/A

    127.75

    CNCO

    CENCOSUD SA-ADR

    14.36

    -12.32

    N/A

    SSI

    STAGE STORES

    22.64

    9.47

    35.89

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Sector Stocks--Composite Score

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    SPLS

    STAPLES INC

    15.69

    -10.38

    25.12

    AHONY

    AHOLD N V ADR

    15.67

    -6.5

    38.31

    HLF

    HERBALIFE LTD

    46.86

    -19.63

    3.88

    CBD

    PAO ACUCAR-GDR

    46.92

    -16.92

    26.03

    PMC

    PHARMERICA CORP

    15.83

    -0.84

    70.58

    Top-Five Retail/Wholesale Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    SVU

    SUPERVALU INC

    6.41

    300

    50.12

    JMBA

    JAMBA INC

    17.05

    300

    748.26

    WFM

    WHOLE FOODS MKT

    51.35

    176.26

    14.24

    FNP

    FIFTH PACIFIC

    21.66

    134.25

    113.08

    BIOS

    BIOSCRIP INC

    15.05

    125.37

    119.07

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

    Themes: retail, wholesale Stocks: CBD, LULU, RAVE, CNCO, SSI, SPLS, HLF, PMC, SVU, JMBA, WFM, KATE, BIOS
Back To Steve Hach's Instablog HomePage »

Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.

Comments (0)
Track new comments
Be the first to comment
Full index of posts »
Latest Followers

StockTalks

More »

Latest Comments


Posts by Themes
Instablogs are Seeking Alpha's free blogging platform customized for finance, with instant set up and exposure to millions of readers interested in the financial markets. Publish your own instablog in minutes.