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Basic Materials Top-5 List From ValuEngine.com

Jul. 12, 2013 3:42 PM ETFBR, SLCA, PPP, KGC, GOLD, GCGJ, BHP, AXLL, BZ-OLD, CDE
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VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up 75% of our universe and 40.6% of the universe is calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. 15 of 16 sectors are calculated to be overvalued.

MARKET OVERVIEW

Index

Week Open

Thurs. Close

Change

% Change

YTD

DJIA

14795.79

15460.92

665.13

4.50%

17.93%

NASDAQ

3326.38

3493.81

167.43

5.03%

15.23%

RUSSELL 2000

1007.7

1033.18

25.48

2.53%

21.78%

S&P 500

1634.2

1675.02

40.82

2.50%

17.30%

Summary of VE Stock Universe

Stocks Undervalued

24.96%

Stocks Overvalued

75.04%

Stocks Undervalued by 20%

10.06%

Stocks Overvalued by 20%

40.60%

SECTOR OVERVIEW

Sector

Change

MTD

YTD

Valuation

Last 12-MReturn

P/E Ratio

Aerospace

0.37%

3.56%

24.77%

20.13% overvalued

28.52%

17.76

Auto-Tires-Trucks

2.13%

6.20%

36.18%

24.94% overvalued

40.54%

17.81

Basic Materials

2.29%

4.23%

0.79%

11.39% undervalued

-25.78%

19.01

Business Services

0.85%

3.88%

69.32%

16.23% overvalued

18.79%

23.28

Computer and Technology

1.35%

4.94%

23.78%

20.32% overvalued

17.90%

30

Construction

1.71%

3.79%

27.75%

12.69% overvalued

33.27%

24.36

Consumer Discretionary

0.70%

3.99%

27.60%

24.40% overvalued

25.43%

24.21

Consumer Staples

0.96%

3.37%

14.61%

21.64% overvalued

15.09%

21.3

Finance

1.05%

5.22%

23.04%

17.97% overvalued

16.92%

17.65

Industrial Products

1.32%

4.58%

25.47%

17.14% overvalued

23.47%

20.21

Medical

0.97%

3.69%

199.17%

16.02% overvalued

15.21%

25.01

Multi-Sector Conglomerates

1.93%

3.75%

5.43%

11.49% overvalued

15.17%

15.81

Oils-Energy

1.32%

3.58%

11.46%

4.23% overvalued

5.38%

27.46

Retail-Wholesale

0.88%

4.49%

31.39%

25.60% overvalued

34.85%

22.72

Transportation

1.15%

2.56%

23.40%

16.07% overvalued

18.75%

21.48

Utilities

1.20%

3.81%

12.76%

8.65% overvalued

10.59%

20.41

Sector Talk-Basic Materials

Below, we present the latest data on leading Basic Materials Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

Top-Five Basic Materials Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

FBR

FIBRIA CELULOSE

11.34

-4.44

56.85

SLCA

US SILICA HOLDI

22.29

-7.07

119.39

PPP

PRIMERO MINING

4.54

-5.16

76.65

KGC

KINROSS GOLD

4.95

-64.84

-37.1

ABX

BARRICK GOLD CP

15.22

-60.72

-56.45

Top-Five Basic Materials Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

FBR

FIBRIA CELULOSE

11.34

-4.44

56.85

SLCA

US SILICA HOLDI

22.29

-7.07

119.39

PPP

PRIMERO MINING

4.54

-5.16

76.65

KGC

KINROSS GOLD

4.95

-64.84

-37.1

ABX

BARRICK GOLD CP

15.22

-60.72

-56.45

Top-Five Basic Materials Sector Stocks--Composite Score

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

SLCA

US SILICA HOLDI

22.29

-7.07

119.39

PPP

PRIMERO MINING

4.54

-5.16

76.65

KGC

KINROSS GOLD

4.95

-64.84

-37.1

FBR

FIBRIA CELULOSE

11.34

-4.44

56.85

ABX

BARRICK GOLD CP

15.22

-60.72

-56.45

Top-Five Basic Materials Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

Ticker

Name

Mkt Price

Valuation(%)

Last 12-M Retn(%)

CHMT

CHEMTURA CORP

22.13

300

57.51

BHP

BHP BILLITN LTD

61.79

253.4

-2.51

AXLL

AXIALL CORP

42.76

68.55

57.03

BZ

BOISE INC

8.8

49.5

28.28

CDE

COEUR DALENE MI

12.21

47.64

-22.38

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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