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ValuEngine Forecast Model Scores Again with Trina Solar (TSL,$TSL) Short Pick 0 comments
ValuEngine Forecast Model Scores Again with Trina Solar (TSL,$TSL) Short Pick
For today's bulletin, we take a look at yet another short pick in the solar industry, Trina Solar (TSL,$TSL). Trina is the latest Energy Sector short-side pick for our Forecast 16 MNS Newsletter portfolio. As of today, Trina is down more than 10% since our rebalance last Thursday and is leading our short side. This follows on the heels of last month's success with another short solar pick--LDK Solar.
TRINA SOLAR LTD has developed a vertically integrated business model from the production of monocrystalline ingots, wafers and cells to the assembly of high quality modules.They are led by an international management team from several different nations. Trina uses partnerships with suppliers in Switzerland, Italy and Germany which provide the latest technology for the company's production facilities in China.
ValuEngine has issued a SELL recommendation for TRINA SOLAR LTD on Sep. 21, 2011. Based on the information we have gathered and our resulting research, we feel that TRINA SOLAR LTD has the probability to UNDERPERFORM average market performance for the next year. The company exhibits UNATTRACTIVE momentum, expected EPS growth and volatility.
Based on available data as of Sep. 21, 2011, we believe that TSL should be trading at $22.32. This makes TSL 63.99% undervalued. Fair Value indicates what we believe the stock should be trading at today if the stock market were perfectly efficient and everything traded at its true worth. For TSL, we base this on actual earnings per share (EPS) for the previous four quarters of $3.33, forecasted EPS for the next four quarters of $1.99, and correlations to the 30- year Treasury bond yield of 3.21%.
Valuation & Rankings
Valuation
63.99% undervalued
Valuation Rank
1-M Forecast Return
-1.04%
1-M Forecast Return Rank
12-M Return
-69.77%
Momentum Rank
Sharpe Ratio
-0.26
Sharpe Ratio Rank
5-Y Avg Annual Return
-22.87%
5-Y Avg Annual Rtn Rank
Volatility
89.08%
Volatility Rank
Expected EPS Growth
-40.21%
EPS Growth Rank
Market Cap (billions)
0.63
Size Rank
Trailing P/E Ratio
2.42
Trailing P/E Rank
Forward P/E Ratio
4.04
Forward P/E Ratio Rank
PEG Ratio
n/a
PEG Ratio Rank
Price/Sales
0.27
Price/Sales Rank
Market/Book
0.52
Market/Book Rank
Beta
3.19
Beta Rank
Alpha
-0.86
Alpha Rank
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MARKET OVERVIEW
Summary of VE Stock Universe
Stocks Undervalued
85.21%
Stocks Overvalued
14.79%
Stocks Undervalued by 20%
56.48%
Stocks Overvalued by 20%
4.86%
SECTOR OVERVIEW
Sector
Change
MTD
YTD
Valuation
Last 12-MReturn
P/E Ratio
Aerospace
-1.43%
-4.90%
1.42%
21.16% undervalued
3.21%
16.45
Auto-Tires-Trucks
-1.51%
-5.09%
-31.46%
26.19% undervalued
9.05%
16.62
Basic Materials
-1.09%
-4.88%
-16.97%
21.45% undervalued
16.69%
30.8
Business Services
-0.81%
-1.92%
-7.80%
21.68% undervalued
1.34%
37.36
Computer and Technology
-1.92%
-2.82%
-10.68%
23.49% undervalued
4.55%
32.38
Construction
-1.44%
-6.16%
-27.73%
29.91% undervalued
-13.29%
34.56
Consumer Discretionary
-1.53%
-3.12%
-12.99%
21.48% undervalued
5.26%
24.59
Consumer Staples
-1.07%
-3.12%
-15.67%
17.19% undervalued
1.15%
15.91
Finance
-1.07%
-3.80%
-12.34%
21.86% undervalued
-3.35%
23.36
Industrial Products
-1.80%
-5.54%
-17.17%
24.89% undervalued
6.90%
22.08
Medical
-1.10%
-2.74%
-4.92%
25.13% undervalued
5.18%
25.24
Multi-Sector Conglomerates
-0.79%
-4.39%
-15.90%
19.48% undervalued
2.74%
20.7
Oils-Energy
-1.53%
-5.70%
-18.43%
22.16% undervalued
17.71%
36.74
Retail-Wholesale
-1.63%
-1.65%
-3.57%
18.02% undervalued
13.66%
24.49
Transportation
-1.89%
-5.46%
-17.15%
21.74% undervalued
-6.99%
20.63
Utilities
-0.16%
-2.75%
-4.26%
7.14% undervalued
7.75%
24.63
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