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Steve Hach is the Senior Editor at ValuEngine.com, a Newtown, Pennsylvania-based stock valuation and forecast service. ValuEngine utilizes Ivy League financial research as the basis for its coverage of more than 7000 US, Japanese, and Canadian, and other foreign stocks. Hach utilizes... More
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  • ValuEngine Looks at Consumer Discretionary Stocks 0 comments
    Jan 13, 2012 2:36 PM | about stocks: LMCA, GLUU, EA, CETV, LINTA, SIX, APOL, HRB, CBS, ESI, ETM, MHGC, XUE, KATE, EPAX

    MARKET OVERVIEW

     

     

    Index

    started week

    Thursday Close

    4 day change

    4 day change %

    ytd

    DJIA

    12359.31

    12471

    111.69

    0.90%

    2.07%

    NASDAQ

    2682.98

    2724.7

    41.72

    1.55%

    4.59%

    RUSSELL 2000

    753.07

    770.49

    17.42

    2.31%

    3.99%

    S&P 500

    1277.83

    1295.5

    17.67

    1.38%

    3.01%

     

     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe

    Stocks Undervalued

    72.37%

    Stocks Overvalued

    27.63%

    Stocks Undervalued by 20%

    34.71%

    Stocks Overvalued by 20%

    7.50%

     

     

    SECTOR OVERVIEW

     

    Sector

    Change

    MTD

    YTD

    Valuation

    Last 12-MReturn

    P/E Ratio

    Aerospace

    -0.61%

    0.69%

    0.69%

    11.26% undervalued

    -14.23%

    16.21

    Auto-Tires-Trucks

    0.66%

    6.33%

    6.33%

    15.00% undervalued

    -8.06%

    14.62

    Basic Materials

    0.90%

    3.42%

    3.42%

    13.04% undervalued

    -23.91%

    22.9

    Business Services

    0.42%

    2.04%

    2.04%

    12.00% undervalued

    3.74%

    29.67

    Computer and Technology

    0.68%

    3.64%

    3.64%

    13.23% undervalued

    -8.78%

    43.83

    Construction

    1.12%

    5.75%

    5.75%

    12.36% undervalued

    -18.07%

    39.68

    Consumer Discretionary

    0.44%

    2.93%

    2.93%

    13.57% undervalued

    -5.02%

    27.67

    Consumer Staples

    0.98%

    2.87%

    2.87%

    10.20% undervalued

    -2.61%

    18.07

    Finance

    0.43%

    1.90%

    1.90%

    11.25% undervalued

    -6.76%

    20.32

    Industrial Products

    1.01%

    4.54%

    4.54%

    10.45% undervalued

    -7.65%

    24.12

    Medical

    -0.01%

    2.12%

    2.12%

    16.97% undervalued

    -4.34%

    34.67

    Multi-Sector Conglomerates

    0.85%

    3.37%

    3.37%

    9.29% undervalued

    -8.89%

    14.67

    Oils-Energy

    -0.21%

    1.89%

    1.89%

    12.87% undervalued

    -14.52%

    38.29

    Retail-Wholesale

    0.41%

    0.74%

    0.74%

    4.69% undervalued

    1.88%

    23.09

    Transportation

    0.27%

    3.44%

    3.44%

    9.17% undervalued

    -18.22%

    20.38

    Utilities

    0.11%

    -1.06%

    -1.06%

    5.20% undervalued

    -0.51%

    28.55

    Sector Talk—Consumer Discretionary

    Below, we present the latest data on leading Consumer Discretionary Sector Stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

    Top-Five Consumer Discretionary Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    LMCA

    LIBERTY MDA-LC

    83.18

    3.67

    30.07

    GLUU

    GLU MOBILE INC

    3.1

    -38.23

    38.39

    EA

    ELECTR ARTS INC

    19.51

    -55.4

    21.71

    CETV

    CENTL EUR MEDIA

    6.26

    -75

    -68.57

    LINTA

    LIBERTY M INT-A

    17.05

    -60.78

    5.05


     

    Top-Five Consumer Discretionary Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    GLUU

    GLU MOBILE INC

    3.1

    -38.23

    38.39

    LMCA

    LIBERTY MDA-LC

    83.18

    3.67

    30.07

    SIX

    SIX FLAGS ENTMT

    41.87

    5.8

    44.18

    EA

    ELECTR ARTS INC

    19.51

    -55.4

    21.71

    APOL

    APOLLO GROUP

    57.21

    -6.14

    36.67


     

    Top-Five Consumer Discretionary Stocks--Composite Score

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    HRB

    BLOCK H & R

    16.39

    -18.04

    35.68

    EA

    ELECTR ARTS INC

    19.51

    -55.4

    21.71

    APOL

    APOLLO GROUP

    57.21

    -6.14

    36.67

    CBS

    CBS CORP

    28.08

    -20.71

    44

    ESI

    ITT EDUCATIONAL

    64.74

    -32.38

    2.57


     

    Top-Five Consumer Discretionary Stocks--Most Overvalued

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    ETM

    ENTERCOM COMMUN

    7.21

    300

    -30.07

    MHGC

    MORGANS HOTEL

    5.82

    138.79

    -47.43

    XUE

    XUEDA EDUC-ADR

    3.65

    43.58

    -63.39

    LIZ

    LIZ CLAIBORNE

    9.16

    32.29

    63.28

    EPAX

    AMBASSADORS GRP

    4.45

    31.04

    -60.16

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