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Steve Hach is the Senior Editor at ValuEngine.com, a Newtown, Pennsylvania-based stock valuation and forecast service. ValuEngine utilizes Ivy League financial research as the basis for its coverage of more than 7000 US, Japanese, and Canadian, and other foreign stocks. Hach utilizes... More
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  • Rating Gold And Consumer Staples With ValuEngine.com 0 comments
    May 4, 2012 3:18 PM | about stocks: EL, ABEV, NWS, SWM, BGS, PPC, SAM, MHFI, SFD, RAI, AM-OLD, STEI, BEAM, MNST, HAIN, MSFT, ABX, NSU, VGZGF, AUQ, HMY, GFI, IAG, KGC, EGO, AU, GG, NEM, AEM

    MARKET OVERVIEW

    Index

    started week

    Thursday Close

    4 day change

    4 day change %

    ytd

    DJIA

    13228.39

    13206.6

    -21.79

    -0.16%

    8.09%

    NASDAQ

    3060.06

    3024.3

    -35.76

    -1.17%

    16.09%

    RUSSELL 2000

    825.47

    806.59

    -18.88

    -2.29%

    8.86%

    S&P 500

    1403.26

    1391.57

    -11.69

    -0.83%

    10.65%

     

     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe

     

     

    Stocks Undervalued

    61.15%

    Stocks Overvalued

    38.85%

    Stocks Undervalued by 20%

    26.74%

    Stocks Overvalued by 20%

    15.54%

    SECTOR OVERVIEW

    Sector

    Change

    MTD

    YTD

    Valuation

    Last 12-M Return

    P/E Ratio

    Aerospace

    -1.96%

    -1.69%

    4.05%

    11.45% undervalued

    -9.46%

    15.53

    Auto-Tires-Trucks

    -2.20%

    -1.41%

    8.42%

    10.07% undervalued

    -11.39%

    16.74

    Basic Materials

    -1.86%

    -2.73%

    2.23%

    8.57% undervalued

    -29.03%

    21.02

    Business Services

    -0.96%

    -1.27%

    7.76%

    4.31% undervalued

    -2.24%

    27.07

    Computer and Technology

    -1.65%

    -1.27%

    12.96%

    10.77% overvalued

    -12.03%

    40.17

    Construction

    -1.29%

    -0.83%

    18.33%

    3.04% undervalued

    -12.86%

    38.16

    Consumer Discretionary

    -1.29%

    -0.78%

    15.97%

    2.08% overvalued

    -4.22%

    27.77

    Consumer Staples

    -0.76%

    -0.94%

    6.26%

    7.55% overvalued

    -9.13%

    24.71

    Finance

    -0.70%

    -0.66%

    13.93%

    10.53% overvalued

    -2.35%

    23.86

    Industrial Products

    -1.42%

    -1.51%

    7.91%

    7.47% overvalued

    -12.75%

    24.03

    Medical

    -1.03%

    -0.82%

    11.45%

    13.40% overvalued

    -13.58%

    44.84

    Multi-Sector Conglomerates

    -0.41%

    -0.38%

    10.95%

    4.14% overvalued

    -8.25%

    16.92

    Oils-Energy

    -1.70%

    -2.54%

    -1.72%

    6.24% undervalued

    -24.55%

    28.35

    Retail-Wholesale

    -1.32%

    -0.71%

    11.82%

    13.40% overvalued

    7.37%

    23.22

    Transportation

    -1.11%

    -0.74%

    10.23%

    5.91% overvalued

    -17.21%

    16.91

    Utilities

    -0.75%

    -1.80%

    0.42%

    3.07% overvalued

    -7.29%

    26.61

    Sector Talk-Consumer Staples

    Below, we present the latest data on leading Consumer Staples Sector Stocks from our Institutional software package (Pending:VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume--no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

    Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Short-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    EL

    ESTEE LAUDER

    64.15

    3.1

    34.66

    ABV

    AMBEV-PR ADR

    42.17

    22.22

    36.78

    NWS

    NEWS CORP INC

    19.99

    -9.36

    8.23

    SWM

    SCHWEITZER-MAUD

    69.83

    -16.18

    41.1

    BGS

    B&G FOODS CL-A

    21.75

    -10.44

    27.57

    Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Long-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    EL

    ESTEE LAUDER

    64.15

    3.1

    34.66

    ABV

    AMBEV-PR ADR

    42.17

    22.22

    36.78

    PPC

    PILGRIMS PRIDE

    6.87

    14.08

    23.34

    BGS

    B&G FOODS CL-A

    21.75

    -10.44

    27.57

    SAM

    BOSTON BEER INC

    110.65

    2

    19.96

    Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Composite Score

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    SWM

    SCHWEITZER-MAUD

    69.83

    -16.18

    41.1

    MHP

    MCGRAW-HILL COS

    49.25

    -24.52

    24.84

    SFD

    SMITHFIELD FOOD

    20.27

    -26.84

    -11.64

    NWS

    NEWS CORP INC

    19.99

    -9.36

    8.23

    RAI

    REYNOLDS AMER

    40.54

    -3.65

    14.71

    Top-Five Consumer Staples Sector Stocks--Most Overvalued

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    AM

    AMER GREETINGS

    15.53

    300

    -32.27

    STEI

    STEWART ENTRP A

    6.27

    300

    -20.43

    BEAM

    BEAM INC

    59.92

    58.22

    -5.8

    MNST

    MONSTER BEVERAG

    67.07

    42.44

    111.38

    HAIN

    HAIN CELESTIAL

    47.31

    40.03

    42.2

    Mining and Gold

    Here are the VE datapoints for buy-rated gold mining stocks:

    Ticker

    Name

    Mkt Price

    Valuation(%)

    Last 12-M Retn(%)

    Forecast 1-Month Retn(%)

    Forecast 1-Yr Retn(%)

    P/E Ratio

    ABX

    BARRICK GOLD CP

    37.98

    -25.37

    -21.01

    1.9

    12.08

    7.87

    NSU

    NEVSUN RESOURCS

    3.5

    -20.6

    -37.16

    1.24

    12.03

    4.73

    VGZ

    VISTA GOLD CORP

    2.86

    -53.57

    -7.14

    1.8

    10.1

    7.53

    JAG

    JAGUAR MINING

    2.28

    -70.67

    -56.41

    2.64

    6.12

    11.69

    AUQ

    AURICO GOLD INC

    8.7

    -13.84

    -12.39

    0.94

    5.78

    11.25

    HMY

    HARMONY GOLD

    9.25

    -27.96

    -35.81

    1.16

    6.14

    11.86

    GFI

    GOLD FIELDS-ADR

    12.41

    -27.45

    -24

    1.57

    10.35

    7.05

    IAG

    IAMGOLD CORP

    11.75

    -38.79

    -39.4

    1.15

    8.24

    10.9

    KGC

    KINROSS GOLD

    8.54

    -55.78

    -42.18

    1.93

    9.56

    10.29

    EGO

    ELDORADO GOLD

    13.11

    -36.46

    -21.12

    1.19

    8.04

    19.4

    AU

    ANGLOGOLD LTD

    32.77

    -33.69

    -31.17

    1.75

    10.85

    7.76

    GG

    GOLDCORP INC

    36.39

    -31.26

    -28.2

    1.67

    9.38

    16.2

    NEM

    NEWMONT MINING

    45.59

    -28.12

    -17.26

    1.73

    10.32

    10.02

    AEM

    AGNICO EAGLE

    38.4

    -40.47

    -39.56

    0.74

    5.88

    22.54

    GOLD

    RANDGOLD RSRCS

    81.89

    -23.21

    0.15

    1.28

    8.12

    15.79

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

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