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TradingBlock provides investors regular market commentary and outlooks from market analysts and educators like Stutland Volatility Group, Dan Sheridan of Sheridan Mentoring, and TradingBlock's own market strategist Tim Biggam. Market analyst outlooks for individual stocks are entered into our... More
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  • Apache underperforms market and peer group; possible value play 0 comments
    Dec 9, 2011 4:23 PM | about stocks: APA

    Tim Biggam, TradingBlock  (December 9, 2011, 3:08pm CST)

    SymbolAnalyst Target PriceTarget Date
    APA105.00April 20, 2012

    Apache Corporation (ticker: APA) is an independent oil and gas company based in Texas. It has operations in Gulf of Mexico, Texas, Permian and Anadarko basins. It also has exploration and production interests in several other countries around the globe.

    Last quarter. the company reported earnings of $2.95, or 10 cents above expectations. With revenues of $4.3 billion coming in almost 45% higher than the prior year, APA is selling at just 6 times cash flow and 1.3 times book, both trough valuations. Its forward multiple of under 7 is also nearing historically cheap valuation levels.

    Apache had been a relative market performer until August, with the stock underperforming the S&P 500 by nearly 20% since then. It has also underperformed its peer group by a similar amount. As such, I look for APA to move to 105 by April expiration.
     
    Play of the Day

    Based on Apache Corporation (ticker: APA) current market price of $97.48 and using a target price of $105.00, a target date of April 20, 2012 and $10,000 of investment capital, below are three options strategies (ranked by potential profit) and a comparative stock trade to consider should the price target be achieved at the target date. 

    Click on the strategy name below to access trade details using TradeBuilder on TradingBlock.com. Powered by TradingBlock's TradeBuilder.

    Strategy (click for details)% Return at TargetProbability of breaking
    even or better
    Sell Apr Iron Butterfly+155%59%
    Buy Apr Call Spread+86%51%
    Sell Apr Put Spread+81%56%
    Buy Stock+8%58%

    * Click link to access TradeBuilder details on TradingBlock.com. Must have Instant or Actual account. Subject to change due to changing market conditions.  Click here to view risks regarding selling stock short.

    DISCLAIMER: This content is provided for educational and informational purposes only. Evaluate any strategy prior to use to understand risk and suitability. TradingBlock does not endorse or warrant any Market Analyst content, service or product. Use this content at your own risk without guarantee or warranty of any kind from TradingBlock. Tim Biggam is a TradingBlock registered representative. He is not compensated by TradingBlock for any market research or analysis services.

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