Robin Handler's  Instablog

Robin Handler
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Editor of the Option Signal Service since 2003 (www.oss.cc). Author of "The Lunar Cycle and the Stock Market."
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Options Signal Service
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Wall Street Forecaster
  • OSS Nightly Stats 0 comments
    Sep 12, 2013 12:07 AM | about stocks: SPY, GLD, SLV
     

     

    OSS Nightly Stats

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    Thoughts & Comments
    • Jobless Claims 8:30 AM
    • Candlestick count is below 20 for the second time this week. Bearish!
    • Second night in a row we have far more bearish arrows than bullish.
    • Today's WTF Moment Click Here
    New Research

    I recent built a MS Excel workbook to produce charts that shows reversal dates based on Carolan's Spiral Calendar research. Time for some forward testing. I will be posting predictions here, and we'll see how well they do. This is not as simple as predicting a date in the future. Many dates get predicted. The trick is to find a cluster in one direct or the other.

    I think one mistake I am making with the spiral calendar predictions is trying to pick lows and highs when I should be looking at reversals when there is a cluster of turning points. I have notice that a number of lows or highs stretched out over a few days does seem to correlate with lows and highs in the market.Hope I will have some charts ready for next week's OSS INDICATORS newsletter.

    • PALL is set to make a low this week.
      Lows came in on last Thursday and on Monday.
    • SLV should hit a high on the 10th.
      Looks like it hit a low.
    • GLD should hit a low on the 5th.
      It dropped hard on the 5th., but went even lower yesterday.

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    Emini Trades (last 5 days)
    Date Scalpers Profit Sluggers Profit
    9/11/2013 +2, -2, -2, +2 0.00 +2, -2, -2, +2 0.00
    9/10/2013 -2, +2, +1.5, +1, +2 4.50 -2, +2, +1.5, +1, +2 4.50
    9/9/2013 -2, -.5, -1.25 -3.75 -2, -.5, -1.25 -3.75
    9/6/2013 -2, +2, -2, +1, +2, -2, +2 1.00 -2, +2, -2, +1, +2, -2, +2 1.00
    9/5/2013 -1, 0, -2, +2, -0.5, +1, -1 -1.50 -1, 0, -2, +2, -0.5, +1, -1 -1.50
    Today's chart and past results can be found here at the bottom of the page.

    Option Trades Closed Today
    Ticker Option Opened Bought Closed Sold Profit%
    AAPL SepWk2 515 Calls 10/09/13 $0.90 10/09/13 $1.40 55%
    SLV SepWk2 23 Calls 06/09/13 $0.45 10/09/13 $0.10 -70%
    AAPL SepWk2 525 Calls 10/09/13 $1.77 10/09/13 $1.42 -20%
    Past results can be found here at the top of the page.

     

     

    Closing Prices
    Ticker Open High Low Close Chg Pts. Chg% High Pts. High% Low Pts. Low%
    ^OEX 750.03 754.13 749.72 754.13 2.01 0.00 2.01 0.27% -2.40 -0.32%
    ^GSPC 1,681.04 1,689.13 1,678.70 1,689.13 5.14 0.00 5.14 0.31% -5.29 -0.31%
    ^VIX 14.74 14.74 13.82 13.82 -0.71 -0.05 0.21 1.45% -0.71 -4.89%
    IWM 104.79 105.22 104.54 105.01 0.05 0.00 0.26 0.25% -0.42 -0.40%
    SPY 168.64 169.40 168.35 169.40 0.53 0.00 0.53 0.31% -0.52 -0.31%
    GLD 131.58 131.81 131.26 131.70 -0.04 0.00 0.07 0.05% -0.48 -0.36%
    SLV 22.29 22.35 22.23 22.29 0.17 0.01 0.23 1.02% 0.11 0.47%
    UUP 22.08 22.09 22.00 22.01 -0.08 0.00 0.00 0.00% -0.09 -0.41%
    TLT 102.92 103.31 102.19 103.29 0.91 0.01 0.93 0.91% -0.19 -0.19%
    OIL 25.43 25.51 25.22 25.44 0.10 0.00 0.17 0.67% -0.12 -0.47%
    CORN 35.32 35.80 35.32 35.76 0.22 0.01 0.26 0.73% -0.22 -0.62%

    Tomorrow's Pivots
    Ticker S2 S1 Pivot R1 R2
    ^OEX 748.25 751.19 752.66 755.60 757.07
    ^GSPC 1,675.22 1,682.18 1,685.65 1,692.61 1,696.08
    ^VIX 13.21 13.51 14.13 14.43 15.05
    IWM 104.24 104.62 104.92 105.31 105.61
    SPY 168.00 168.70 169.05 169.75 170.10
    GLD 131.04 131.37 131.59 131.92 132.14
    SLV 22.17 22.23 22.29 22.35 22.41
    UUP 21.94 21.98 22.03 22.07 22.12
    TLT 101.81 102.55 102.93 103.67 104.05
    OIL 25.10 25.27 25.39 25.56 25.68
    CORN 35.15 35.45 35.63 35.93 36.11

    Candlestick Count -- Last 5 days
    Bullish Bearish
    EG+ ... Engulfing EG- ... Engulfing
    ST+ ... Morning Star ST- ... Evening Star
    HA+ ... Harami HA- ... Harami
    PP+ ... Piercing Pattern DC- ... Dark Cloud
    DATE EG+ PP+ HA+ ST+ EG- DC- HA- ST- + - +%
    9/11/2013 28 3 3 0 56 7 56 4 34 123 0.22
    9/10/2013 17 3 3 0 74 23 17 0 23 114 0.17
    9/9/2013 46 1 9 1 28 2 7 0 57 37 0.61
    9/6/2013 24 1 13 0 147 14 18 2 38 181 0.17
    9/5/2013 32 1 3 0 46 10 59 0 36 115 0.24

    Technical Analysis and Point & Figure Scores
    Date TA+ TA- TA% P&F+ P&F- P&F%
    9/11/2013 2552 1045 0.71 1081 765 0.59
    9/10/2013 3761 1348 0.74 1045 781 0.57
    9/9/2013 3595 963 0.79 982 823 0.54
    9/6/2013 2059 1141 0.64 939 871 0.52
    9/5/2013 2277 1437 0.61 912 861 0.51

    Tomorrow's US Economic Events
    Thursday, 12-September-2013 (EST)
    8:30:00 AM Jobless Claims
    8:30:00 AM Import and Export Prices
    9:45:00 AM Bloomberg Consumer Comfort Index
    10:30:00 AM EIA Natural Gas Report
    11:00:00 AM 3-Month Bill Announcement
    11:00:00 AM 6-Month Bill Announcement
    11:00:00 AM 52-Week Bill Announcement
    11:00:00 AM 10-Yr TIPS Announcement
    1:00:00 PM 30-Yr Bond Auction
    2:00:00 PM Treasury Budget
    4:30:00 PM Fed Balance Sheet
    4:30:00 PM Money Supply

    Earnings Announcements for Thursday, September 12
    Ticker EPS Time Company
    BRC 0.51 Before Market Open Brady Corp
    KR 0.60 Before Market Open Kroger Co

     

     

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    Stocks: SPY, GLD, SLV
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