Dr. Henry Ma, CFA, is a global macro manager who specializes in both short-term trading opportunities and long-term asset allocation strategies in global equity indexes, currencies, commodities, interest rates and ETF's. He is the portfolio manager of Julex Capital Management, which he founded... More
Weekly Economic And Market Review 04-08-2012: Disappointing Spanish Bond Auction And US Job Reports Drove Stocks Lower 0 comments
Apr 8, 2012 9:23 PM
Top Stories Last Week
Disappointing Spanish bond auction
In an auction of medium-term debt, Spanish government only sold €2.6 billion ($3.5 billion), which was at the bottom end of the €2.5 billion to €3.5 billion target it was looking to raise from the sales of bonds. The ten-year yield rose by 22 basis points to 5.63%. A month ago, the yield was 4.9%. European stock markets tumbled as a result.
US Economy added 120K jobs, much lower than expected
The U.S. Labor Department said employers added 120,000 jobs, the fewest in five months and much less than the median economist forecast of 205,000. Yields on 10-year Treasuries dropped by 13 basis points and S&P 500 futures tumbled 1.1%.
Global PMI manufacturing reports
PMI manufacturing indexes from US to China and UK are showing expansions in manufacturing activities in March, though Euro-zone's manufacturers are continue struggling. Chinese manufacturing index rose to 53.1 up from 51 in February. The March reading in the official report was the fourth consecutive monthly increase. The report has helped to ease concerns about a potential hard landing for the world's No. 2 economy. The US gauge rose 53.4, better than economists' forecasts. It provides further sign on the world's largest economy's gaining a stronger foothold.
ECB, BOE, RBA kept interest rates on hold
European Central Bank, Bank of England and Reserve Bank of Australia kept interest rates on hold at 1%, 0.5% and 4.25%, respectively, though all of them recognized the improving outlooks of the economies.
Top Stories to Watch This Week
Global Inflation Reports
The US, Germany and China will report consumer price index. Watch out for signs of inflation picking up.
China: CPI is expected to increase to 3.4% from 3.2% YOY.
Germany: CPI is expected to decline to 2.1% from 2.3% YOY.
US: CPI is expected to decline to 2.6% from 2.9%.
Chinese GDP
Chinese economy is expected to slowdown further to 8.4% from 8.9% last quarter.
Bank of Japan meeting
Bank of Japan will meet to decide monetary policy and is expected to keep interest rate unchanged at 0.1%.
Weekly Performance Summary
All the portfolios declined slightly as results of negative performance of all risk assets during the week.
For more information about the multi-asset investment strategies, please visit allseasoninvesting.com.
About ALL SEASON INVESTING: All Seasin Investing is an investment blog, created in December 2011 to offer investors insights and researches on how to implement a dynamic multi asset allocation strategy with the low-cost index funds or ETFs to achieve consistent returns while limiting downside risks through all stages of a market cycle.
Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha
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in contrast to contributors' articles.
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Weekly Economic And Market Review 04-08-2012: Disappointing Spanish Bond Auction And US Job Reports Drove Stocks Lower 0 comments
Top Stories Last Week
In an auction of medium-term debt, Spanish government only sold €2.6 billion ($3.5 billion), which was at the bottom end of the €2.5 billion to €3.5 billion target it was looking to raise from the sales of bonds. The ten-year yield rose by 22 basis points to 5.63%. A month ago, the yield was 4.9%. European stock markets tumbled as a result.
The U.S. Labor Department said employers added 120,000 jobs, the fewest in five months and much less than the median economist forecast of 205,000. Yields on 10-year Treasuries dropped by 13 basis points and S&P 500 futures tumbled 1.1%.
PMI manufacturing indexes from US to China and UK are showing expansions in manufacturing activities in March, though Euro-zone's manufacturers are continue struggling. Chinese manufacturing index rose to 53.1 up from 51 in February. The March reading in the official report was the fourth consecutive monthly increase. The report has helped to ease concerns about a potential hard landing for the world's No. 2 economy. The US gauge rose 53.4, better than economists' forecasts. It provides further sign on the world's largest economy's gaining a stronger foothold.
European Central Bank, Bank of England and Reserve Bank of Australia kept interest rates on hold at 1%, 0.5% and 4.25%, respectively, though all of them recognized the improving outlooks of the economies.
Top Stories to Watch This Week
The US, Germany and China will report consumer price index. Watch out for signs of inflation picking up.
China: CPI is expected to increase to 3.4% from 3.2% YOY.
Germany: CPI is expected to decline to 2.1% from 2.3% YOY.
US: CPI is expected to decline to 2.6% from 2.9%.
Chinese economy is expected to slowdown further to 8.4% from 8.9% last quarter.
Bank of Japan will meet to decide monetary policy and is expected to keep interest rate unchanged at 0.1%.
Weekly Performance Summary
All the portfolios declined slightly as results of negative performance of all risk assets during the week.
Table 1: ETF Performance
Table 2: Weekly Portfolio Performance
(1 day delay)
(1 day delay)
(as of 12/11)
(as of 12/11)
(as of 12/11)
For more information about the multi-asset investment strategies, please visit allseasoninvesting.com.
About ALL SEASON INVESTING: All Seasin Investing is an investment blog, created in December 2011 to offer investors insights and researches on how to implement a dynamic multi asset allocation strategy with the low-cost index funds or ETFs to achieve consistent returns while limiting downside risks through all stages of a market cycle.
Disclosure: I am long SPY, IWM, EFA, VWO, IYR, AMJ, GLD, GSG, HYG, JNK, AGG, TIP, IEF, TLT, VNQ.
Instablogs are blogs which are instantly set up and networked within the Seeking Alpha community. Instablog posts are not selected, edited or screened by Seeking Alpha editors, in contrast to contributors' articles.
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