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Efsinvestment.com website offers simple do-it-yourself type of investment ideas. You can download excel files that can easily calculate the Fair Value of a stock, along with O-Metrix score and Margin of Safety. My investment philosophy is to first determine the maximum loss, and invest... More
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  • Apple: Earnings Estimate 0 comments
    Apr 23, 2013 2:25 PM | about stocks: AAPL

    Time Series Decomposition for APPLE (AAPL) EPS

    Multiplicative Model

    Data APPLE EPS

    Length 21

    NMissing 2

    Fitted Trend Equation: Yt = -1.598 + 0.626*t

    Seasonal Indices

    Period Index

    1 1.18481

    2 0.96443

    3 0.85607

    4 0.99468

    Accuracy Measures

    MAPE 25.9107

    MAD 1.1819

    MSD 2.0617

    Forecasts

    Period Forecast

    2013 Q2 11.7509

    2013 Q3 10.9669

    2013 Q4 13.3658

    2014 Q1 16.6628

    (click to enlarge)

    Source for all charts: Author.

    Disclosure: I am long AAPL.

    Stocks: AAPL
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