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Efsinvestment.com website offers simple do-it-yourself type of investment ideas. You can download excel files that can easily calculate the Fair Value of a stock, along with O-Metrix score and Margin of Safety. My investment philosophy is to first determine the maximum loss, and invest... More
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  • Apple: Earnings Estimate 0 comments
    Apr 23, 2013 2:25 PM | about stocks: AAPL

    Time Series Decomposition for APPLE (AAPL) EPS

    Multiplicative Model

    Data APPLE EPS

    Length 21

    NMissing 2

    Fitted Trend Equation: Yt = -1.598 + 0.626*t

    Seasonal Indices

    Period Index

    1 1.18481

    2 0.96443

    3 0.85607

    4 0.99468

    Accuracy Measures

    MAPE 25.9107

    MAD 1.1819

    MSD 2.0617


    Period Forecast

    2013 Q2 11.7509

    2013 Q3 10.9669

    2013 Q4 13.3658

    2014 Q1 16.6628

    (click to enlarge)

    Source for all charts: Author.

    Disclosure: I am long AAPL.

    Stocks: AAPL
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