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Albert Sung is the author of the Katchum Macro-Economic Blog, monitoring breaking economic news from a day to day basis. He started investing in 2008 because of the economic crisis and holds a masters degree in chemical engineering. Previously, he worked several years as a process engineer at... More
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Katchum's Macro-economic blog
  • Signs Of A Housing Market Crash: Mortgage Rates Vs. Mortgage Applications Vs. Pending Home Sales 0 comments
    Jul 3, 2013 4:51 PM

    Just discovered another correlation on Zero Hedge. If mortgage rates go up, lending becomes more difficult, so people stop applying for new mortgages. This means there is a negative correlation between mortgage rates and mortgage applications.

    (click to enlarge)

    When mortgage applications go down, not a lot of homes will be sold. This means that home sales will go down. As suggested by the following chart, there is a correlation here between mortgage applications and pending home sales.

    (click to enlarge)

    If it's true that interest rates and mortgage rates will go up, you can bet that we will have another housing crisis. Home sales go down. All those homes will be coming onto the market, while nobody wants them.

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