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Gold Forward Rates Turn Negative

|Includes:SPDR Gold Trust ETF (GLD)

As I told before, the only parameter that is going to dictate gold lease rates, is the GOFO rate, because the Federal Reserve will always keep the fed funds rate at zero, which means the LIBOR rate will stay at zero.

The GOFO rate though, is dependant on the demand and supply mechanics of gold. And today we have the first time that the GOFO rate actually turned negative, which is officially a backwardation in gold.

Once such events happen, we will see a huge shortage coming in gold.

Chart 1: LBMA GOFO rate turns negative

And the subsequent rise in lease rates:

Stocks: GLD