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Free Advice: It's Worth Exactly What You Paid For It

My daddy used to say, "Advice is worth exactly what you pay for it."  He was referring to "free advice" which you can get a lot of right here at Seeking Alpha.  How much is it worth?  Depends.

The easiest way to get an article published is to write one about any stock that comes to mind.  Pick one at random.  Say, Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT).  Now, if you run a screen with PE's, ROE, and the other financial criteria, you will find that AMAT will show up, as it has many of the attributes that both DG investors and Growth Investors seem to love.  By the same token, it is a stock that both DG investors and Growth investors can find reason to criticize.

So there you have it.  How to become a successful author.  Basically, all you need to do is select a stock.  Share your criteria as to why you believe it is a stock to either go long with or that you think one should short.  Submit it and it will be published.

Here's the problem, though.  Hardly anyone will read your article.  Even fewer people will leave comments about your article.  But, you will get published.  I will prove it to you later this week.  That's when I am going to submit an article about two stocks that I absolutely love and that I feel will make money for both growth investors and DG investors.  These two stocks can't fail to make money, because my crystal ball told me so.  There you have it.  I bet you can't wait to see what two stocks I am going to write about!

This time of year, it seems as if people are thinking that some kind of new season has started, in this game we call  investing.  Everything looks brighter in January.  The investing season starts anew!  The previous year's activities don't mean anything anymore!  You see, the slate has been wiped clean--after all it's January!

An unknown, until now, paradigm has taken place.  The market has stopped what it has done in the past and is now set to change direction in some kind of mythical 90 degree tangent--away from the trends it was following in 2011.

At least that's the only conclusion that you can possibly come to, when you read the articles that are being published lately.  There's why MSFT is a buy and why it's a short.  And every other stock in between, receiving the same dissertation.

In most activities, there is only one truth.  I fly my own plane.  I know with absolutely no question, that if I am flying and my propeller stops turning, I have a serious problem.  I can try to start the engine again, but if I'm out of gas, guess what?  Gravity and the laws of gravity will bring me and my plane to a meeting with terra firma.  Just a fact.

The stock market is a place of conjecture.  There are no facts, until you look backward.  Looking forward, we have no idea as to what's going to happen--only what we hope is going to happen.  No one can tell you that a given stock is going to go up or down.  Not consistently, at least.  Hell, even a broken clock is right twice a day.

But here's what I can tell you.  If you continue to do nothing in regard to your investments; if you fail to have a plan and work that plan; if you fail to set aside money for investing--they you are not going to prosper.

But then again, those aren't the kind of topics they like to publish at Seeking Alpha.  They prefer the churn and burn articles (one author actually published five articles in one day, touting various stocks--and hardly anyone has even read his touts or posted a commentary.

I don't write tout sheets.  That's not me.  I write about common sense investing.  I write about long term ideas for your success.  I try to share my country ways and twisted sense of humor about the way I see things.  There isn't much call for that, it seems in SA.  Instead, the instablog gives me the chance to say what's on my mind and what's in my heart.  A man has to do what a man has to do. 

Instablogs will be my main course of communication moving forward.  I don't give a rat's patootie about "page hits" or any sense of "stardom."  What I choose to do is to talk stocks, talk investing, talk life.  If that appeals to you, visit the instablog.  If it doesn't, then I'll continue commenting in other people's articles.

From my way of thinking, the instablog allows me to bypass editorial bias and at the same time reach those who would like to read and comment on what I have to say as opposed to me being forced to write articles that some editor feels warm and fuzzy about, while I think the article is crap.

No crap in 2012.  Just straight talk and open conversation.  Have a great day!

Dave