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George Kuan
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My long-standing pastime has been the financial markets which I believe is brimming with interesting research questions and opportunities from the technological and mathematical point of view. I have worked a bulge bracket investment bank and studied at the University of Chicago and Harvey Mudd... More
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  • Social Web IPO Performance 0 comments
    Dec 16, 2011 5:54 PM | about stocks: P, ZNGA, LNKD, RENN

    Looks like Zynga's IPO day didn't start a social web frenzy (down 7.8% as of now). The broad market certainly was no help here. Quite a pattern is forming with Pandora, Groupon, Linkedin, and Renren. None of these led to an unqualified success, and most of them are doing quite poorly especially if one bought at the open of the first day. Those who bought at the IPO price did considerably better for each of those 3 names. Groupon and Pandora debuted last month and in June respectively. Linkedin and Renren debuted in May.

    Stock IPO Price First Day Opening 12/16 Mid-Day Return from IPO 12/16 Mid-Day Return from First Day Open
    P 16 20 -35% -48%
    GRPN 20 28 11.3% -20.5%
    LNKD 45 83 44.7% -21.5%
    RENN 14 19.5 -75.6% -82.5%

    Over the same period (starting from May 4, 2011), the S&P 500 dipped 10.5%, considerably less than the return if one purchased starts at the open on the first day of trading. The FPX (First Trust IPO-100 Index ETF) returned -10.6% over that period, so roughly inline with the large-cap market, but this is because its constituents includes many long-running large companies such as Visa, Philip Morris, Lorillard, Kinder Morgan, and Dollar General.

    Stocks: P, ZNGA, LNKD, RENN
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