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High Yield Dividend Portfolio; I target a minimum 10% return on price *and* a minimum 5% for dividend yield. Early retiree, father, and grandfather. Seeking alpha n00b. Opinionated SOB. Radical liberal conservative libertarian (I VOTE FOR NONE OF THE ABOVE!). I'm actually a Marxist - of the... More
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PandA Trader - High-Yield (5%+) Dividend Stocks with High Annual Return (20%+) & Other Adventures in Trading the Day
  • High Yield Dividend Portfolio Buy List For 9/19/12: AGNC AMTG NRF RNF  0 comments
    Sep 19, 2012 3:00 AM | about stocks: AGNC, AMTG, NRF, RNF

    My 'lofty' expectations for the High Yield Dividend Portfolio; I target a minimum 33% return on stock price *and* a minimum 10% for dividend yield.

    There have been quite a few changes in my screening lately, and the results have changed considerably. I screen for a 45% return and a 75% return as well as the 33% return. The results from the 75% screen also show up in the 45% screen, and results from both of those screens show up in the 33% screen. All screens look for a minimum 10% dividend yield.

    I put all results in a spreadsheet and I also still track price trends over 4 time periods; 1 year, 21 weeks, 3 months, and 21 days. All stocks are in an uptrend in each of those periods (except RNF because it's not quite a year's worth of weekly data). Here's today's watch list;

    (click to enlarge)

    Notice the 2 dark green symbols, they were on the 75% screen.

    Notice the 1 light green symbols, that was on the 45% screen.

    I have added 3 new columns to the watch list; Buy Signal (Linear Regression Reversal), K (number of times "Kicked" or 'struck out' and did not pass screening), and R (number of times passed screening Recently).

    There's no way to infer which symbols passed the most recent screening except by comparing to a previous watch list. Since the watch list is updated in real time here on the blog, there's no way to determine the most recent 'passing list' unless I tell you (or paste a picture every day like the one above).

    Here's the 'pass list'; AGNC AMTG NRF rnf

    That's right, there are now only 4 stocks passing the initial screening. Part of the reason all of these dividend stocks got hammered today probably has something to do with the slew of downgrades that were issued. From my 'tweet' this morning;

    Here come the downgrades $BKCC $CODI $PSEC $AGNC $MCGC and more. 'Tis the season, I guess. Hey, get ready for #HFT #FlashCrash #manipulation

    These watch list symbols (with their ex-dividend dates shown) are sometimes showing 'buy signals' on the 3 month daily charts, so I would probably be most predisposed to purchasing those. Or not, depends on my mood and the 'market mood' and the market is one moody bitch. But, I digress…

    You could also look at the ex-dividend dates if you felt like capturing some dividend. You could also just buy everything with a 'buy signal'. It's up to you. I might do all of the above, or maybe not. It all depends on my mood in the morning. So, to break it down, this is the list I'm going with for today's update (so far…);

    AGNC AMTG NRF RNF

    I think today is the only the second time that the 'pass list' is also the 'buy list' with all 4 symbols flashing a 'buy signal'.

    There are other symbols flashing 'buy', but they did not pass the most recent initial screen.

    I may be removing some symbols from the watch list soon, probably as early as this weekend. I think I might remove; ARI, CMO, CODI, CYS, FSC, MFA, PMT, SFL, & TCRD unless they pass an initial screen before this weekend. I have to think more about this, though. "Don't be hasty" as Treebeard would say.

    RNF is an MLP, and should not be used in any IRA due to tax complications. I read that on the internet. So, even though it's up about 100% for the year, I'm going to pass on buying *any* MLP stocks (except *MAYBE* for my regular brokerage). Note: I bought some today…

    AGNC ex-dividend is 9/19, so it's now too late to buy it to capture the dividend.

    IVR and TWO ex-dividend is 9/20.

    CYS ex-dividend is 9/24.

    If you use sharebuilder for your broker, and you have setup an AIP (Automatic Investment Plan) you have to realize that sharebuilder buys only once each week, and it's generally on a Tuesday, so the dates to look at first for capturing dividends are from Wednesday through next Tuesday if you invest weekly as I do. If you don't invest weekly, then you must look further out if you primarily want to capture dividends.

    Always be aware of ex-dividend dates:
    9/12 sfl tcrd ticc
    9/14 MITT
    9/17 bkcc
    9/19 agnc
    9/20 ivr two
    9/24 cys
    9/26 amtg ari cmo FULL psec
    10/5 KCAP
    10/11 fsc

    Stocks: AGNC, AMTG, NRF, RNF
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