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Dark-Liquidity.com operates a free website primarily with a interest in quantitative trading strategies. The site tracks the stock / ETF holdings and performance of various trading strategies and several other mainly free trading strategy websites. The site focuses on market timing with many... More
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  • 2011 Stock Picks 0 comments
    Apr 16, 2011 4:13 PM | about stocks: HGG, ENTR, RCL, GM, CSCO, FCX, X, F, UAL, GOOG, ETR, HAS, AGU, CME, DISCA, MOS, WFC, SNI, CCI, BK, LEN, ITRI, AMD, BWA, ABX, RSG, WMT, UPS, MFGLQ, MCD, AAPL, GPC, PEP, PCP, IVZ, SLB, SAPE, YUM, PVH, JPM, UNP, MMP, MDLZ, UTX, MMM, LOW, ABT, RIG, HON, ORCL, RDS.A, V, VECO, DOW, HCN, CMCSA, DHR, DLR, SBUX, NVR, EW
    At the end of every year various personal finance magazines and stock brokers publish their best stock ideas for the upcoming year. Often these are selections are never mentioned again. We decided to track the stock pick portfolios for SmartMoney, Money, Fortune, Kiplinger and Barrons publications and also brokers, J P Morgan, Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
    As of April 15th, only 3 of the 8 stock pickers are beating the S&P and Nasdaq indexes.
    YTD Bar Chart

    Fortune had an early lead up over 6% in the first 2 weeks but is now in last place. Kiplinger had a bad start, down almost 3% in the first week but has since recovered into positive territory. The chart below shows the portfolios profit / loss plotted weekly at the Friday closing prices.


    Goldman Sachs currently holds five of the top ten best performing stocks selected.
    Stock Name
    Stock Symbol
    Profit
    Magazine / Broker
    Rubicon Technology
    RBCN
    31.15%
    Goldman Sachs
    Blackstone
    BX
    30.48%
    Goldman Sachs
    Tyco international
    TYC
    24.07%
    Morgan Stanley
    Chicago Bridge & Iron
    CBI
    21.40%
    Goldman Sachs
    JBHunt
    JBHT
    17.20%
    Goldman Sachs
    VF Corp.
    VFC
    16.53%
    Kiplinger
    Pfizer
    PFE
    15.99%
    Barrons
    Treehouse Foods
    THS
    15.72%
    Goldman Sachs
    TJX
    TJX
    15.37%
    Smartmoney
    Polo Ralph Lauren
    RL
    15.10%
    Kiplinger

    The three bottom stock pickers hold two stocks each from the overall 10 worst performing stocks selected.
    Stock Name
    Stock Symbol
    Profit
    Magazine / Broker
    hhgregg
    HGG
    -38.46%
    Kiplinger
    Entropic
    ENTR
    -36.61%
    Fortune
    Royal Carribean
    RCL
    -19.75%
    Fortune
    General Motors
    GM
    -18.97%
    Barrons
    Cisco Systems
    CSCO
    -16.72%
    Barrons / Smartmoney
    Freeport-McMoran
    FCX
    -16.72%
    Smartmoney
    US Steel
    X
    -15.90%
    Kiplinger
    Ford
    F
    -14.79%
    Goldman Sachs

    It is only a little over one quarter the way through the year. We'll publish a mid year update to monitor how they continue to perform.
    Themes: 2011 stock picks Stocks: HGG, ENTR, RCL, GM, CSCO, FCX, X, F, UAL, GOOG, ETR, HAS, AGU, CME, DISCA, MOS, WFC, SNI, CCI, BK, LEN, ITRI, AMD, BWA, ABX, RSG, WMT, UPS, MFGLQ, MCD, AAPL, GPC, PEP, PCP, IVZ, SLB, SAPE, YUM, PVH, JPM, UNP, MMP, MDLZ, UTX, MMM, LOW, ABT, RIG, HON, ORCL, RDS.A, V, VECO, DOW, HCN, CMCSA, DHR, DLR, SBUX, NVR, EW
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