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Wall Street Economists is an academic not-for-profit research project published for free public access and comments. The goal of the project is to develop the accuracy of economic forecasting, financial journalism and academic research. The project attempts to answer five critical research and... More
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  • Wall Street Economists Question Nouriel Roubini's Predictions and Investment Advice 0 comments
    May 1, 2011 12:26 AM

    Wall Street Economists published the results of an academic research project on the financial crisis of 2007-2008. The research posed several questions related to the crisis, including who are the experts who predicted the crisis? How accurate are their predictions? And can they be relied on for investment decisions?

    Several researchers and financial journalists have questioned the accuracy and investment value of Dr Nouriel Roubini's predictions. Some even questioned whether he predicted the financial crisis or was erroneously promoted by the media as the expert who warned the world about it.

    "Dr. Nouriel Roubini claims that he warned the public about the crisis in an IMF speech in 2006. Dr. Roubini was challenged by another economist Dr. Anirvan Banerji who participated with Roubini in a panel discussion. He says that a transcript of that event shows that Roubini did not predict a market meltdown or any of the other problems he now claims to have predicted. Banerji contends that Roubini’s justification for his bearish call has evolved over the years...ticking off the different reasons that Roubini has used to justify his predictions of recessions and crises"- (Source: New York Times)

    Eric Tyson, a well known financial author, says "major business magazine praises Roubini for his predictions and fails to hold him accountable for numerous poor predictions." (Source: EricTyson.Com)

    Charlie Gasparino, a well known financial journalist is "worried about Nouriel Roubini Hype". (Source Deal Breaker)

    Nicholas Vardy, another economist and investment adviser, criticizes Roubini's performance with the following statements: "Here’s what’s ironic… Roubini’s public appearances touting doom and gloom are a terrific contrarian indicator that you can use to improve your investment returns." (Source: Nicholas Vardy Blog)

    With such drastic differences between mainstream Wall Street media and the emerging critical views about Roubini's forecasts, Wall street Economists conducted an extensive research to verify whether Dr Roubini lives up to his media reputation or these journalists are unjustified in their criticism.

    Regardless of the political motivation of Roubini's supporters and critics, academic research and professional journalistic standards call for fact checking and corrections.

    The research results along with supporting sources, dates and links are published for public access and comments at:

    Nouriel Roubini Predictions

    The research found at least three other experts who predicted the financial crisis, Dean Baker, Med Jones, and Peter Schiff.

    According to the researchers the earliest prediction among the experts came from Dean Baker and the most accurate predictions came from Med Jones. Nouriel Roubini's predictions lagged behind the other experts and Peter Schiff's predictions were the most bearish.


    Detailed information and references are available at: Wall Street Economists
     or its mirro site: Economic Predictions Research

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