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A scientist, trying to save a little on the side. I am interested in high alpha trading strategies requiring little time commitment.
  • More from Kyle Bass on Japan, EU 0 comments
    Nov 29, 2011 9:10 AM

    Around 6 minutes.


    1) Japan's current account surplus has dwindled to 3% of GDP, but fiscal imbalance is 10% of GDP.  If yields on Japanese debt rise even slightly, you'll get a rapidly developoing debt crisis.

    2) EU will break up.  Bass notes that Germany's debt is 81% of GDP, and far, far higher once its banks get recapitalized.
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