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Matthew Whiz Buckley
Matthew Whiz Buckley
Stop FollowingMatthew Whiz Buckley
Advanced AAPL BPS Trade Alert 4 comments
Strategic Mindset:Flat to upward Bias
Target:AAPL trading @ $665.32
Commit Criteria: AAPL Implied Volatility is overpriced relative to its forecast volatility of 2.83% over the trade period. We are looking for flat to upward possible price movement but for it to stay above $645.00 until the exit of this trade.
Tactic:Opening 5 AAPL September 2012 Bull Put Spreads (strikes [640/645]) for a $0.60 credit
Tactical Employment of Bull Put Spread:
- Selling to Open 5 AAPL Sep 2012 $645.00 Puts
- Buying to Open 5 AAPL Sep 2012 $640.00 Puts
- Net Credit: $60.00 per Bull Put Spread for a total of $300.00
- Max Gain: $300.00
- Max Risk: -$440.00 per Iron Condor for a total risk of -$2200.00
Mid-Course Guidance:
We will be watching for a price movement near the short strike. As the short strike is threatened we will adjust the Bull Put as necessary.
Profitability Target:
We will wait for this Bull Put to expire worthless taking the $300.00 credit as profit.
Exit Tactic: We will wait for this Bull Put to expire worthless, adjusting as necessary.
Disclosure: I am short AAPL.
Additional disclosure: We are looking to enter this position in our Advanced Model Portfolio at Top Gun Options
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This post has 4 comments:
I am trying to make sure that wasn't a typo . You mentioned that you are short apple so you are expecting the stock to go down . why are you advocating a bull put spread ?
please elaborate
We're selling a Bull Put Spread which technically makes us short since we sold the spread.
Hope this helps.
W
Also, u risk $2200 to make $300?
We have various risk management criteria at Top Gun Options and the contract size reflects that.
Adjusting contract size obviously will impact the risk vs reward ratio. This was also a weekly trade. 4 days.
Thanks!
W
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