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Switzerland As A Cue To Major Tops?

May 09, 2014 1:37 PM ETEWL, SPY, IWM
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The Switzerland ETF (EWL) presents us with an unusual picture: it is one of the few securities I have noticed that has a beautiful trendline running from around the 2000 market top, to the 2007 top, and now in play for a possible 2014 top. Here is decade-plus chart of EWL.

It is worth noting that EWL has not broken down, nor shown any particular weakness at present. However, it has formed a textbook rising wedge over the last couple of years as it now hits the decade-plus trendline of major tops.

It adds up to an interesting situation that bears close watching, imho.

As an interesting aside, have you noticed the action in SPY? Despite all the grief about crushed small caps and technology darlings, SPY is actually working on a fourth straight up-week! It is coasting squarely in the middle of its ever-narrowing (rising wedge) range. Interesting.

Conversely, small caps (IWM) are testing the support at what may be the neckline of a Head and Shoulders pattern.

It's been another interesting week. It feel like this major cross-roads has been happening in slow motion for months now. Only time will tell if this is the formation of a major top, or the base before one final push higher. In my view, either way, the end of this bubble is in sight. Only time will tell what shape it takes.

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