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Playing the Ponzi
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Why “Playing the Ponzi”? I view the entire monetary and financial system as something of a Ponzi scheme. Starting with currency that is created as debt, and running straight through a global economic model that is based on infinite growth in a finite world. This won’t end well. I’d go a step... More
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Playing the Ponzi
  • Rally caps back on? 0 comments
    Aug 11, 2014 12:24 PM | about stocks: SPY, SSO, SDS, QQQ, QID, QLD, IWM, RWM, XIV

    A world hankering for war? No problem. Despite rising geopolitical tension, it looks like the U.S. markets may be done with negativity for now. Though the longer term patterns remain bearish, and I still believe the end is in sight, it looks to me like another push higher (maybe to S&P 2000?) is likely in the cards. Let's look at some charts.

    First, the S&P (NYSEARCA:SPY), which never got down to its support line, but did post a nice reversal pattern last week.

    (click to enlarge)

    Here's a closer look at last week's SPY reversal:

    (click to enlarge)

    The most interesting chart to me is the inverse-VIX ETF that I had been short, (NASDAQ:XIV). I closed my short on Friday and opened a long position today. We'll see how that goes...

    (click to enlarge)

    Small caps (NYSEARCA:IWM) seem to have found support and may be moving into a sideways channel. I still expect to see it break down to new lows, but I am open to being wrong.

    (click to enlarge)

    Nasdaq (NASDAQ:QQQ) is one of the most interesting charts because it barely budged off its highs! Wow. I wonder if it'll push to that upper line?

    (click to enlarge)

    With bulls still running amok and geopolitical risks rampant, it seems like a good time to stay nimble regardless of bull/bear bent.

    Disclosure: The author is long RWM, XIV.

    Stocks: SPY, SSO, SDS, QQQ, QID, QLD, IWM, RWM, XIV
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