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Recession Bells

|Includes:AsiaInfo Holdings, Inc. (ASIA)

Europe

ECB President   gives signals to buy bonds if necessary. Unexpected moves can be observed in the next decision as the global recession fears persist. After Greece, Italy can be on the scene for long days as well as Ireland. These countries have also helped Greece Rescue Plan; meanwhile, dealing with their potential weak economy with high debt to GDP ratios. Financials in European Stocks Markets are possibly in the red line in case of a sudden fall. Besides, Insurance companies may be risky because of financial risks of banks.

Oil

As recession fears spreading in US and Europe, oil is questioned for investors with growth concerns all over the world. Possible second crisis signals explain that oil demand  will decline as economies are in danger of recession. Oil was down almost 6 % as a result of this risk. It seems that its consumption may slow down for the upcoming days unless the risks cool in the market.

Financials

BAC -7.4%

JPM - 5%

GS - 4.4%

MS, and AIG have declined more than 6%. As the recession news appears, financial may experience more declines in the market. There were alerts about the risks around banks, insurance companies which were discussed in the light of European debt concerns first. As bad news also come from U.S, it will be inevitable to see down movements in financials and related sectors.

Asian Stocks decline

Global recession fears also pushed stocks downward, especially, energy firms, and financials;

Financials

NIK - 3.4%

MAUSF -5.1%

NMR -5.4%

MQBKY.PK -8.2%

Energy

IPXHY.PK -6.3% JXHGF -5%

CEO - 6.5%

PTR -4.3%

In the case of recession concerns, central banks as well as big investors think about investing in Gold similar to last crisis movements as there is a belief that it will rise further. Yield curves starts to seem strange like in recessions. Longer term interest rates are lower than short terms as investors think a slowdown in the global economy which will push yields down further. On the other hand, emerging markets may be an alternative to invest if there is a crisis stemming from developed economies. However, this time there will be more financial contagions all over the world as it is different from Mortgage crisis. Now, debt issues, banks portfolios as well as insurance companies, foreign exchange policies globally effect as we see it for European debt issues; Greece, U.S debt issues as well. The pre market conditions of subprime mortgage crisis had not released to the other economies suddenly as it was a problem in the country first. However, now the problem has already expanded through the world. Then, the winners in emerging stocks market may not get big earnings this time as risks will probably affect this market daily more than the ex-crisis.



















Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Stocks: ASIA