A Technical EchoVector Look At The Stock Market From Three Weeks Ago Revisited, With Charts - February's Expiration

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 26, 2013

A Technical EchoVector Look At The Stock Market:

DIA, DJIA, DJX, /YM Futures Basis:
Active Annual, Bi-Quarterly, And Quarterly EchoVectors And Forecast EchoVectors

From Key Pivot Point EchoBackDates
For The Week of Monday 25 February 2013

Feb 25, 2013 1:31 PM | about stocks: SPY, SH, SSO, SDS, QQQ, PSQ, QLD, QID,IWM, RWM, UWM, UKK, TWM, DIA, DOG, DDM, DXD, TLT, TLH, IEF, UUP, UDN,GLD, GTU, DGZ, UGL, DZZ, GLL, IAU, SGOL, SLV, DBS, AGQ, ZSL, CU, PALL,PPLT

/YM Chart: Dow 30 Industrial Average E-mini Futures:

A 12-Month Daily OHLC Chart with Key EchoVectors, Forecast EchoVectors, and Echo-Back Dates Illustrated:

A Chart With Active and Key Annual, Bi-Quarterly, and Quarterly EchoVectors And Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors From Key Or Select Pivot Point EchoBackDates and Downside or Upside Pivot Extension Vectors Generated From Key Coordinated Focus Echo-Back Time Points.

Coordinated Echo-Back Time Points:

1. Monday Feburary 2013's Quarterly and Bi-Quarterly Monday EchoBackDates

Colors Of Coordinated EchoVectors Illustrated On Chart

Solid Yellow:Annual EchoVector (AEV)

Dotted Yellow: Annual Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors

Solid White: Bi-Quarterly EchoVector (2QEV)

Dotted White: Bi-Quarterly Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors

Solid Green: Quarterly EchoVector (QEV)

Dotted Green: Quarterly Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors

Solid Blue: Pivot Downside Echo-Vector Extension Weakness (2QEV and QEV) Coming Before Re-Pivot Up-side And Correcting Rally Into Coming Options Expiration Week.

Solid Pink: Annual Echo Time-Frame Before Key May Sell-off.

(Click on chart to enlarge and click on chart again to open new tab then click on chart in new tab to zoom)

FOR FURTHER EXTENDED ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY

See article, Dow Chart: Toppy Or Not?, at

http://echovectorvest.blogspot.com/2013/02/dow-chart-toppy-or-not-next-months.html,

and more market Commentary References at

http://www.echovectorvest.com/Commentary.html

"WE'RE KEEPING WATCH FOR YOU"

Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 9:42 AM

A 12-Month Daily OHLC Chart with Key EchoVectors, Forecast EchoVectors, and Echo-Back Dates Illustrated:

A Chart With Active and Key Annual, Bi-Quarterly, and Quarterly EchoVectors And Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors From Key Or Select Pivot Point EchoBackDates, With Downside or Upside Pivot Extension Vectors Generated From Key Coordinated Focus Echo-BackTime Points Included.

Coordinated Echo-Back Time Points:

1. Monday Feburary 2013's Quarterly and Bi-Quarterly Monday EchoBackDates

Colors Of Coordinated EchoVectors Illustrated On Chart

Solid Yellow:Annual EchoVector (AEV)

Dotted Yellow: Annual Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors

Solid White: Bi-Quarterly EchoVector (2QEV)

Dotted White: Bi-Quarterly Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors

Solid Green: Quarterly EchoVector (QEV)

Dotted Green: Quarterly Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors

Solid Blue: Pivot Downside Echo-Vector Extension Weakness (2QEV and QEV) Coming Before Re-Pivot Up-side And Correcting Rally Into Coming Options Expiration Week.

Solid Pink: Annual Echo Time-Frame Before Key May Sell-off

(Click on chart to enlarge and click on chart again to open new tab then click on chart in new tab to zoom).

FOR FURTHER EXTENDED ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY

See article, Dow Chart: Toppy Or Not?, at

http://echovectorvest.blogspot.com/2013/02/dow-chart-toppy-or-not-next-months.html,

and more market Commentary References at

http://www.echovectorvest.com/Commentary.html

"WE'RE KEEPING WATCH FOR YOU"

Posted by EchoVectorVEST at 9:54 AM

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 26, 2013

DOW CHART: TOPPY OR NOT?

Next month's options expiration, coming March 15TH, marks the one-year anniversary of the spring 2012's momentum price top for large cap composite equity indexes, as measured by the Dow 30 Industrial Average.

Although this 2012 mid-March price momentum top was re-touched again several times later that March and April, significant lower lows also followed. These lower lows continued until a market bottom for the year was reached in early June, with an almost 10% sell-off in the Dow having occurred.

Prices had fallen from a seasonal high of just over $132, to a June (early) low of $120.19, measured by the DIA ETF. It then took the rest of June, July, and part of August to recover back these gains. On the strength of this price recovery (fueled significantly by Central Bank action and intervention) the DIA climb an additional 2.5% into September, but only to collapse again to near prior summer lows by November, a pattern very similar to prior year price activity.

However, since November 2012, and further keeping with this annual price action pattern, the DIA has gained a remarkable 16% into the present month of February 2013.

With these strong gains since November, some market bears are suggesting the time is now ripe for large cap stocks to begin to correct again, especially after this impressive and extensive level of price recovery and gain. Many bears are considering both seasonality, and relatively lofty current price levels, in their assessments, as well as caution from additional pressures from a relatively faltering European market.

Market bulls, on the other hand, are pointing to things like potential commodity (industrial factor input) price destruction, increased equity demand inflows as an alternative to faltering bonds, and continued aggressive central bank financial engineering, to keep upward market price momentum going. Some bulls also point to the cyclical market benefits that often accompany the second term phase of a Presidency as well.

I believe this coming month of trading, and well into the March 15TH options expiration, could be very revealing regarding the possible continuation of positive market price momentum into this spring, and later into this summer.

I suggest focusing closely on price action and relative strength during the period that spans a week and a half preceding March 15TH, and the two to three week period that immediately follow expiration (particularly the 12 trading days after March 15TH, and beyond).

A review of my attached chart of the Dow 30 Industrials E-mini Futures might suggest that a period of potential opportunity on the long side (ceteris paribus) starting the first Tuesday of March, and going into March expiration, might be forthcoming. This long opportunity may then be followed by potential cautionary period, perhaps even a period warranting a good look at the possible employment of large cap portfolio insurance (especially following the 12TH trading day after the March 15TH expiration), if not an outright shorting opportunity period.

I also believe price action over the next 4 weeks may also help foreshadow what price levels the key cyclical price support, and subsequent market up-move later this year may launch from, regarding a broadly anticipated Regime Change Cycle (8 year) price low potentially due this October.

/YM Chart: Dow 30 Industrial Average E-mini Futures:

A 16-Month Daily OHLC Chart with Key Annual EchoVectors

and Quarterly Echo-Back Dates Illustrated

A Chart With Active Annual Price Vectors And Select Quarterly Echo-Strength Vectors Illustrated Generated From Key Coordinated Focus Echo-Back Time Points.

Coordinated Echo-Back Time Points:

1. 2ND Week if February, 2012, to 2ND Week if February, 2013, and

2. Week Preceding Options Expiration (Tuesday), March, June, September and December 2012.

Colors Of Coordinated EchoVectors Illustrated On Chart

Solid White: Annual EchoVector (QEV)

Dotted White: Annual Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors

Solid Green: Echo-Strength Vectors From First Tuesday of Month Coming Before Key Options Expiration Week.

(Click to enlarge and click again to zoom)

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

Feb 22, 3:51 PM

DIA CHART: 1-YEAR DAILY OHLC: TRADER'S EDGE EASYGUIDECHART: Great Success By EchoVectorVEST MDPP Model In Composite Equities Forecast Today [Edit or Delete]0 comments

Feb 22, 2013 3:51 PM | about stocks: SH, SSO, SDS, QQQ, PSQ, QLD, QID, IWM,RWM, UWM, UKK, TWM, DIA, DOG, DDM, DXD, TLT, TLH, IEF, UUP, UDN, GLD,GTU, DGZ, UGL, DZZ, GLL, IAU, SGOL, SLV, DBS, AGQ, ZSL, CU, PALL, PPLT

DIA ETF 1-YEAR DAILY OHLC

WITH KEY BIQUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR AND ECHOBACKDATE

(Click to enlarge and click again to zoom)

FOR FURTHER EXTENDED ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY

See

A Closer Technical Look At The S&P500 Spyder Futures And The DJIA Spyder ETF Today

and article, Dow Chart: Toppy Or Not?, at

http://echovectorvest.blogspot.com/2013/02/dow-chart-toppy-or-not-next-months.html,

OTAPS ALERT at

http://echovectorvest.blogspot.com/2013/02/blog-post_5845.html,

and more market Commentary References at

http://www.echovectorvest.com/Commentary.html

"WE'RE KEEPING WATCH FOR YOU"

PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP

EchoVectorVEST

Providing Forecasting and Trade Management Technology, Analysis, and Education Consistent With More Than Doubling the Portfolio Position Value of The Major Market(Dow 30 Industrials, DIA ETF) From Mid-2007 to Early 2009!... More Than Doubling Again from Early 2009 through 2010!... Then More Than Doubling Again in 2011!... And Then More Than Doubling Again in the First Half of 2012!... "We're keeping watch for you!"

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PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP

"We're keeping watch for you."

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FOR TODAY'S KEY CHARTS AND ANALYSIS, SEE:

EchoVectorVEST MDPP

AND,

https://seekingalpha.com/author/kevin-wilbur/instablog/full_index

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www.echovectorvest.com/OUR RECORD

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www.echovectorvest.com/OUR RESEARCH

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www.echovectorvest.com/THE ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP TRADEMARK TERMINOLOGY MATRIX

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www.echovectorvest.blogspot.com/PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP ADVANCED ACTIVE POSITION MANAGEMENT TECHNOLOGY:THE ON/OFF/THROUGH VECTOR TARGET APPLICATION PRICE SWITCH

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www.echovectorvest.blogspot.com/ADVANCED MANAGEMENT EXHIBIT WEEK RESULTS FOR THE GLD ETF AND THE DIA ETF

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www.echovectorvest.blogspot.com/ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP HIGH FREQUENCY TRADING DEMONSTRATION AND POSITION TERMINOLOGY

DIAMOND OF SUCCESS:

www.echovectorvest.com/THE DIA ETF: THE DIAMOND OF SUCCESS

GOLD METALS:

www.echovectorvest.com/THE GLD ETF AND GOLD METALS

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www.echovectorvest.com/THE USO AND LIGHT SWEET CRUDE OIL

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www.echovectorvest.com/BIO, PRESIDENT AND FOUNDER

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"We're keeping watch for you."

TAGS: Stock Market Education, ETF Analysis, Major Market Composite Index, Market Outlook, Market Analysis, Technical Analysis, Cyclical Analysis, Price Analysis, Economy, Macro Outlook, Trading, Day Trading, Swing Trading, Investing, Dow Futures, S&P Futures, Stock Market Education, Market Forecast, Market Opinion and Analysis, EchovectorVEST, Portfolio Insurance, Portfolio Management

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