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  • DOWPIVOTS.COM AND SPYPIVOTS.COM: "Dow Heads To The Downside: It's Not Syria" Aug 28 2013  0 comments
    Aug 30, 2013 10:01 AM | about stocks: QQQ, PSQ, QLD, QID, IWM, RWM, UWM, UKK, TWM, DIA, DOG, DDM, DXD, TLT, TLH, IEF, UUP, UDN, GLD, GTU, DGZ, UGL, DZZ, GLL, IAU, SGOL, SLV, DBS, AGQ, ZSL, CU, PALL, PPLT, VXX, UVXY, XIV, TVIX, XLI, TNA, SPXU, IVV, TQQQ, SQQQ, SPLV, SPY, SSO, SDS

    Dow Heads To The Downside: It's Not Syria

    Aug 28 2013, 07:54 | 9 comments | includes: DIA

    BOOKMARK / READ LATER

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More...)

    The last several days have been full of the news of general stock market price woes and tensions with Syria seem to be high on the headline blame list. On Monday the Dow 30 Industrial Composite Index dropped about 150 points the last hour of trading. Tuesday we saw the Dow shed another 170 points. We find headlines like "Syria concerns weigh on markets" and "Asia joins global equity rout on Syria fears; Nikkei leads losses" leading the financial news. However, the premise that Syrian tensions may be the primary cause of the Dow's woes and the sell -off early this week may be seriously misplaced. Investors and traders may want to look a little deeper before trading on such a premise.

    Many analysts have been calling for the possibility of a general stock market correction to start this month. I'm one of them. Last month's earnings announcements were on balance not particularly strong, neither were many forward outlooks. Unemployment in the U.S. also remains a chronic and unresolved problem throughout the economy. In early August Fed tapering concerns mounted again. In response, bonds resumed a trek towards yet another poor monthly performance, their fourth such month in a row, and this time stocks followed. The short-lived aftermath on Thursday and Friday last week following Wednesday's Fed Minutes Release simply paused the Dow's downward trajectory for a couple of days, which isn't an unusual occurrence. Historical seasonal volatility associated within September in the stock market looms right around the corner. Technicals are also breaking down.

    In light of these fundamentals, a reference to Syrian tensions is unneeded to account for the market's present weakness and current trading price levels. In fact, it's my observation that the market is performing in a manner and toward price levels consistent with my forecast at the beginning of this month. This week's prices are running right along key quarterly echovector slopes established at key time-points during last week's important Fed Minutes week. This can be seen in the following chart of the DIA ETF, which I will use as a proxy for the large cap stock market composites in my analysis.

    (Right click on image of chart to open image in new tab. Left click on the image opened in the new tab to further zoom EchoVector Analysis chart image illustrations and highlights.)

    DIA ETF 4-MONTH DAILY OHLC QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR PERSPECTIVE


    (Click to enlarge)

    The chart above highlights key quarterly echovectors at key time-points during last week's important Fed Minutes week. We can see the coordination of last Monday's weekly beginning (as the market set up in anticipation for last Wednesday's Fed Minutes Release) with its echo-back-date Monday one quarter ago. This echovector is highlighted in solid white.

    We can also see last Wednesday's extended hour's price low that followed the Fed Minutes Release and its coordination with the extended hours price low with the corresponding Wednesday one quarter ago. This echovector is highlighted in solid grey. Its slope is key here and this echovector was established last week before all the Syrian tension concern hit. Note that the quarterly echovector pivoted downwards also last week (from the white quarterly echovector's slope at the beginning of the week to the grey quarterly echovector's slope on Wednesday after regular hours close).

    Looking at the grey-spaced quarterly coordinate forecast echovector that runs from the weekly low of the week that followed the Fed Minutes Release week last quarter, we can now also see that the DIA simply closed right on that coordinate forecast echovector Tuesday this week. This indicates that, at most, Syrian tensions may have just gotten us to the coordinate forecast echovector's price level just a few days earlier than in the corresponding week last quarter.

    And when you factor in last quarter's further lows as prices moved into June's primary options expiration day (vertical red-spaced line at 6/21) following the Fed Minutes Release in May, and slope momentums to last week's Fed Minutes Release, and include the weight of similar subsequent quarterly echovector momentum at work forward into the beginning of next month, and also add the effect of potentially coming historical seasonal weakness -- on an annual basis -- for September, then the relative weight of Syrian Tensions and its actual effect on the Dow's current price level becomes spurious. The coordinate blue purple price extension vectors also highlight this as well.

    Actual economic fundamentals, and the above technical factors and coordinate echovector flows, and their coordinate forecast echovectors and corresponding pivot point projection levels, and perhaps the long Labor Day Weekend coming up, may account more for current price levels than international headlines may misleadingly indicate.

    And on August 7TH I put out an alert in an article titled "Could This Be A Correction That's Coming? An EchoVector Pivot Point Perspective" regarding coming weakness in the stock market. Since then the Dow is down about 700 points or almost 5% -- and the correction may not be over yet.

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    DOWPIVOTS.COM AND SPYPIVOTS .COM: "TODAY'S TOMORROW" UPDATE AND ANALYSIS: DIA ETF: QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR TRADING FRAMECHART PERSPECTIVE: WITH WITH KEY ACTIVE QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS AND COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTORS, AND ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PROJECTIONS [Edit or Delete]0 comments


    Aug 27, 2013 11:49 PM | about stocks: QQQ, PSQ, QLD, QID, IWM, RWM, UWM,UKK, TWM, DIA, DOG, DDM, DXD, TLT, TLH, IEF, UUP, UDN, GLD, GTU, DGZ, UGL,DZZ, GLL, IAU, SGOL, SLV, DBS, AGQ, ZSL, CU, PALL, PPLT, VXX, UVXY, XIV,TVIX, XLI, TNA, SPXU, IVV, TQQQ, SQQQ, SPLV, SPY, SSO, SDS

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    THE ECHOVECTORVEST MARKET PRICE PIVOTS FORECAST NEWSLETTER

    Currently a regularly updated online newsletter providing valuable and timely market price path analysis and price forecast charts, advanced market price echovectors and echovector price echo-back-dates, advanced forecast echovector price pivot points, key echovector price inflection points, and advanced coordinate forecast echovector support and resistance vectors for select stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and emerging markets composites, with a strong focus on select, proxying and indicative futures and ETF instruments and markets.

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    DEFINITION: THE ECHOVECTOR

    "For any base security I at price/time point A, A having real market transaction and exchange recorded print price p at exchange of record print time t, then EchoVector XEV of security I and of time length (cycle length) X with ending time/price point A would be designated and described as (I, Apt, XEV); EchoVector XEV's end point is (I, Apt) and EchoVector XEV's starting point is (I, Ap-N, t-X), where N is the found exchange recorded print price difference between A and the Echo-Back-Date-Time-And-Price-Point of A, being (A, p-N, t-X) of Echo-Back-Time-Length X (being Echo- Period Cycle Length X).

    A, p-n, t-X shall be called B (or B of I), being the EBDTPP (Echo-Back-Date-Time-And-Price-Point)*, or EBD (Echo-Back-Date)*, or EBTP (Echo-Back-Time-Point) of A of I.

    N = the difference of p at A and p at B (B being the 'echo-back-date-time-and-price-point of A found at (A, p-N, t-X.)

    And security I (I, Apt, XEV) shall have an echo-back-time-point (EBTP) of At-X (or I-A-EBTP of At-X; or echo-back-date (EBD) I-A-EBD of At-X): t often displayed on a chart measured and referenced in discrete d measurement length units (often OHLC or candlestick widthed and lengthed units[often bars or blocks]), such as 1-minute, 5-minute, 15-minute, 30-minute, hourly, 2-hour, 4-hour, 6-hour, 8-hour, daily, weekly, etc."

    DEFINITION: ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINTS: CLICK HERE

    SCROLL DOWN TO VIEW THE ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS CHARTS OF THE DAY

    FOR ADDITIONAL CHARTS AND ANALYSIS BY ECHOVECTORVEST CLICK HERE

    DIRECT LINKS TO THIS MONTH'S SELECT TOPICS, ARTICLES, AND POSTS

    CURRENT POST

    CURRENT POST
    ANALYSIS, ALERTS, OTAPS SIGNALS, CHART ILLUSTRATIONS, AND COMMENTARY

    Tuesday, August 27, 2013

    DOWPIVOTS.COM AND SPYPIVOTS .COM: TODAY'S TOMORROW QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR CHART PERSPECTIVE: UPDATE AND ANALYSIS

    Tuesday, August 27, 2013

    THE MARKET IS CONTINUING IN ITS FORECAST TRAJECTORY LAST HIGHLIGHTED ON THURSDAY AUGUST 22 2013.

    See chart below: Then short term support was projected from Fed Minutes action which had sent the DIA ETF to support on the six month echovector (solid pink) in parallel with the annual echovector (solid red).

    This support was forecast to fail however after a 'several days' short-term bounce into this week: see annual echovector echo-back-week for this week.

    Note the price momentum failure in this week's 2012 echobackweek proceeding into this period's end of August/early September 2012 second-wave swing trade low.SEE YELLOW HIGHLIGHTS BELOW. SYRIA RELATED HEADLINES ARE THIS YEAR'S EVENTS.

    http://echovectorvest.blogspot.com/2013/08/dowpivotscom-dia-etf-tuesdaywednesday.html

    Left click on chart to enlarge. Right click to open in new tabe. Click again on chart in new tab to further zoom.

    DIA ETF QUARTERLY 1-HOUR OHLC CHART PERSPECTIVE
    WITH KEY ACTIVE QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS AND COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTORS AND ECHOBACKTIMEPOINTS AND KEY EXTENSION VECTORS IN ECHO AND KEY FORECAST ECHOVECTOR SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE VECTORS WITH ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT PROJECTIONS

    DIA ETF 1-YEAR DAILY OHLC

    (click to enlarge)

    _____________________________________________________________________

    SUPPLEMENTAL CONTEXT

    Thursday, August 22, 2013 DOWPIVOTS.COM: DIA ETF: TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY: SUMMARY OF SIGNIFICANT L4 ALERT ACTIONS: READYING FOR FED MINUTES ANALYSIS AND STRATEGY

    SHORT-SIDE OPENS AND CLOSES:

    BTO TUESDAY AFTERNOON .30

    STC WEDNESDAY $.75

    BTO WED AFTERNOON .30

    STC WED AFTERNOON $.97

    LONG SIDE OPENS AND CLOSES

    BTO WED MORNING (Mirror CALL, same percent spread as correlate above)

    STC WED AFTERNNON (Mirror CALL, same percent spread as correlate above)

    BTO WED AFTERNOON (Mirror CALL, same percent spread as correlate above)

    STC WED AFTERNOON (Mirror CALL, same percent spread as correlate above)

    (click to enlarge)

    SUPPLEMENTAL CONTEXT

    Tuesday, August 20, 2013

    DOWPIVOTS CHART UPDATE: DIA ETF: TODAY'S TOMORROW ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS CHART: ANNUAL, TRI-QUARTERLY, BI-QUARTERLY, AND QUARTERLY PERSPECTIVE

    ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS TRADER'S EDGE EASYGUIDECHARTS

    ECHOVECTOR AND COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTOR AND ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT COLOR CODE GUIDE

    ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS MODEL ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS ECHOVECTOR WITH COORDINATE ECHOBACKDATE AND COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTORS AND ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ILLUSTRATIONS AND HIGHLIGHTS COLOR CODE GUIDE FOR TRADER'S EDGE EASYGUIDECHARTS

    COLOR CODE GUIDE FOR CHARTS

    1. Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (8 Year, Week of month): LongAqua-Blue
    2. Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (8 Year, Week of month): LongYellow
    3. Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (8 Year, Week of month): LongPink
    4. Presidential Cycle EchoVector (4 Year, Day of week): Long White
    5. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of week): Long Green
    6. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of week): Long Blue Purple
    7. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of week): Long Pink
    8. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of week): Long Yellow
    9. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of week): Red
    10. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of week): Pink
    11. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of week): Aqua-Blue
    12. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of week): Long Blue Purple
    13. 9-Month Cycle EchoVector (9 Months, Day of week): Grey
    14. Bi-Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (6 Months, Day of week): Yellow, Peach
    15. Bi-Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (6 Months, Day of week): Grey, Aqua-Blue
    16. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of week): White
    17. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of week): Grey
    18. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of week): Red
    19. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of week): Green
    20. Bi-Monthly Cycle EchoVector (2 Months, Day of week): Black
    21. Monthly Cycle EchoVector (1 Month, Day of week): Peach
    22. Bi-Weekly Cycle EchoVector (2 Weeks, Day of week): Grey, Peach, Aqua-Blue, Yellow,White
    23. Weekly Cycle EchoVector (1 Week, Day of week): Aqua Blue, Red,White, Blue-Purple

    24. 3-Day Cycle EchoVector (3 Day, Day-over-Day): Short Grey, ShortWhite

    25. 2-Day Cycle EchoVector (2 Day, Day-over-Day): Short Yellow,Short White

    26. Daily Cycle EchoVector (1 Day, Day-over-Day): Short Pink, ShortWhite, Short Blue-Purple

    27. Select Support and/or Resistance Vectors and/or Relative Price Extension Vectors (Various Lengths): Navy Blue and/or Blue Purple, Green, Red

    Left click on charts to zoom. Click on charts to zoom again further. Right click on charts to open in new tab. Right click on charts in new tab to zoom.

    DIA ETF ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS CHART 1-YEAR DAILY OHLC

    WITH KEY ACTIVE ECHOVECTORS FROM THURSDAY 8/15
    AND WITH KEY ECHOBACKDATES FOR TUESDAY 8/20
    QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR : WHITE
    BI-QUARTERLY ECHOVECTORS: YELLOW AND PEACH AND AQUA-BLUE
    TRI-QUARTERLY ECHOVECTOR: GREY
    ANNUAL ECHOVECTOR: RED

    Current Outlook Analysis and Swing Trade Implications

    After this current further down-pressure week, and it's resumption the following week (after initially bouncing off annual and biquarterly echovector support) into the end of August, prepare for one last potential relative strength period from end of first trading Tuesday in September until to mid-September, followed by potential seasonal down-pressure into fall lows. Expect the immediate short-term down-pressure to continue into the end of August and this beginning September period, before staging this final relative strength period and thereafter seeking relative weakness in derivative lows.

    Note that this time of year is often accompanied by international events that have been placed on the backburner. These events often serve to act as further volatility drivers in the stock, bond, precious metals, and energy market.

    See charts below for additional implications and strategies going into today's Fed Minutes realease and potential price volatility.

    DIA ETF 3-DAY 5-MINUTE OHLC

    (click to enlarge)

    Look for continued weakness tomorrow morning along yellow 2-day downtrend line going into Wednesday's Fed Minutes Release.

    DIA ETF PUT OPTION AUG 23 2013 149 WEEKLY

    FRIDAY-MONDAY-TUESDAY CHART DEPICTING LOWER LOWS AND $.30 OTAPS ENTRY TARGET

    (click to enlarge)

    OTAPS L4 Primary Short-side-to-open Rider Vehicle: 1PM EDST TUESDAY Open $.30

    Ready for potential algo-driven 'double swing' opportunity, especially in derivative esoterics, and on 'short side to open' opportunity, in and correlate long opportunity in its construction, during potential volatility in Wednesday's Fed Minutes announcement day.

    Targeted SSO DIA ETF PEB Derivative Rider Vehicle and its Swing Price Target extrapolated from Tuesday's and Monday's prior trading and echovector analysis setup:

    DIA Auguest 23 149 PUT at $.30

    SSO Short Side Open

    PEB Price Equivalency Basis

    Posted by BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS at 12:59 AM

    Posted by BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS at 12:58 PM
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    ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT INDICATOR CALCULATION

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    From The Information On Your Own Security's Price Chart

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    ECHOVECTOR AND COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTOR AND ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT COLOR CODE GUIDE

    ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS TRADER'S EDGE EASYGUIDECHARTS

    ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTS MODEL ECHOVECTOR ANALYSIS ECHOVECTOR WITH COORDINATE ECHOBACKDATE AND COORDINATE FORECAST ECHOVECTORS AND ECHOVECTOR PIVOT POINT ILLUSTRATIONS AND HIGHLIGHTS COLOR CODE GUIDE FOR TRADER'S EDGE EASYGUIDECHARTS

    COLOR CODE GUIDE FOR CHARTS

    1. Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (8 Year, Week of month): LongAqua-Blue
    2. Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (8 Year, Week of month): LongYellow
    3. Regime Change Cycle EchoVector (8 Year, Week of month): LongPink
    4. Presidential Cycle EchoVector (4 Year, Day of week): Long White
    5. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of week): Long Green
    6. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of week): Long Blue Purple
    7. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of week): Long Pink
    8. Congressional Cycle EchoVector (2 Year, Day of week): Long Yellow
    9. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of week): Red
    10. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of week): Pink
    11. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of week): Aqua-Blue
    12. Annual Cycle EchoVector (1 Year, Day of week): Long Blue Purple
    13. 9-Month Cycle EchoVector (9 Months, Day of week): Grey
    14. Bi-Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (6 Months, Day of week): Yellow
    15. Bi-Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (6 Months, Day of week): Grey
    16. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of week): White
    17. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of week): Grey
    18. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of week): Red
    19. Quarterly Cycle EchoVector (3 Months, Day of week): Green
    20. Bi-Monthly Cycle EchoVector (2 Months, Day of week): Black
    21. Monthly Cycle EchoVector (1 Month, Day of week): Peach
    22. Bi-Weekly Cycle EchoVector (2 Weeks, Day of week): Grey, Yellow,White
    23. Weekly Cycle EchoVector (1 Week, Day of week): Aqua Blue, Red
    24. Daily Cycle EchoVector (1 Day, Day-over-Day): Short Pink

    25. Select Support and/or Resistance Vectors and/or Relative Price Extension Vectors (Various Lengths): Navy Blue and/or Blue Purple

    EchoVectorVEST MDPP Model and methodology-generated "spaced and color coordinated" Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors(CFEVs) are often included in presented Price Chart Overlays in many EchoVector Pivot Point Chart And Analysis presentations.

    CFEVs are key components in EchoVector Analysis and are therefore often projected and illustrated on the charts.

    CFEVs represent graphical illustrations of parallel Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors associated with and corresponding to the highlighted solid-colored EchoVectors presented in the EchoVector Analysisbased Trader's Edge EasyGuideCharts of represented securities or investment instruments.

    The CFEVs originate from key Range-Specific and Scope-Relative Flex Points within the MDPP model-generated CFEV Constellation of Origins. The CFEV's are defined, analytical, EchoVector-lengthed, EchoVector sloped-defined and slope-parallel, color-coordinated and color-designated MDPP forecast model methodology-generated Coordinate Forecast EchoVectors, with their respective EchoVector Analysisprice support, price resistance, vector price slope, vector price momentum, and EchoVector Theory implicated timing qualities.

    The endpoints of the CFEV's constitute current ProtectVEST and AdvanceVEST By EchoVectorVEST MDPP Precision Pivots model potential focus interest opportunity EchoVector Pivot Points and their forecasted potential time-frame occurrences.

    Note: "Abbreviated Versions" of publicly available and posted EchoVector Analysis Display Charts occasionally present all echovector-related highlights, illustrations and overlays in aqua-blue only.

    ECHOVECTORVEST BLOG LIST

    PROTECTVEST AND ADVANCEVEST BY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP
    My PhotoBY ECHOVECTORVEST MDPP PRECISION PIVOTSProviding Forecasting and Trade Management Technology, Analysis, and Education Consistent With More Than Doubling the Portfolio Position Value of The Major Market (Dow 30 Industrials, DIA ETF) From Mid-2007 to Early 2009!... More Than Doubling Again from Early 2009 through 2010!... Then More Than Doubling Again in 2011!... And Then More Than Tripling Again in 2012!... "Staying ahead of the curve, we're keeping watch for you!"View my complete profile

    SPECIAL NOTATIONS

    Special Notations

    EchoVector Theory is a price pattern impact theory. EchoVector Analysis is an advanced technical analysis methodology. EchoVector Analysis is also presented as a behavioral economic application and securities analysis tool in price pattern theory and in price pattern behavior, study, and forecasting, and in securities analysis and price analysis and in securities price speculation.

    EchoVector Pivot Points, special contributions to the field of technical analysis, are a technical analysis tool and application within EchoVector Analysis, and derived from EchoVector Theory in practice.

    Kevin John Bradford Wilbur is the postulator of EchoVector Theory, the creator of EchoVector Analysis, and the inventor of EchoVector Pivot Points.

    Copyright 2013 EchoVectorVEST MDPP Precision Pivots

     

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