Sanford Bernstein analyst Tim Anderson's take on Eli Lilly (LLY +3.3%) offers a surprisingly candid view on the roulette-like risks involved in betting on drug company stocks with his estimate that LLY could clear $9B in sales of solanezumab by 2020 or misfire completely with its investment. Anderson on the sector: "Eli Lilly and several of its competitors are willing to spend hundreds of millions of dollars on what is essentially a massive lottery ticket."
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