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Calendar Q2 iPhone (AAPL +0.6%) sales are trending towards ~30M (above a ~27M consensus), says...

Calendar Q2 iPhone (AAPL +0.6%) sales are trending towards ~30M (above a ~27M consensus), says Jefferies' Peter Misek in an info-packed note. Misek also: 1) Believes Apple has set aggressive Q3 and Q4 iPhone build plans, with nearly half the Q4 builds involving a cheaper iPhone. 2) States the iPad Mini is "cannibalizing more than expected," and expects the current model to be kept and discounted after a retina model launches. 3) Expects the 5th-gen iPad to be ~50% lighter and 30%-40% thinner. 4) Thinks AT&T (T) and Verizon (VZ) are talking with Chinese white-box OEMs about selling carrier-branded phones, in an effort to cut subsidy costs. 5) Believes consumer BlackBerry Z10 (BBRY +0.5%) sales have slowed, but that Q10 sales are better than expected.
Comments (43)
  • I have a Z10 and love it but when the A10 comes out later this year that is when the fireworks will really begin.
    7 Jun 2013, 03:10 PM Reply Like
  • Many people that have the Z10 love it. Now many, many are going to grab the Q10, In my family will need 8, so good for Blackberry, and when Christmas comes will try to buy a couple of A10!
    I am sure we will be in very good shape!
    7 Jun 2013, 03:22 PM Reply Like
  • I'm waiting for the Z10 wifi. Right now I'm happy with my Playbook, and I'll be happier when BB10 is available for download!
    8 Jun 2013, 12:27 AM Reply Like
  • Just hope we aren't the only ones.
    7 Jun 2013, 03:27 PM Reply Like
  • No, i love my Z10, too :-) I think, there are many more! And my new Christmas present, the A10, is in work! :-) BlackBerry is on the right track, and if they don't reduce their speed, what i don't expect, they are rising to old strength! It was also great that so much interest is from the Fortune 500! :-)
    8 Jun 2013, 03:35 AM Reply Like
  • Trust me you're not, I have 3 Z10's in my family and we all love it.
    7 Jun 2013, 03:38 PM Reply Like
  • The Q10 has no life after the BB diehards get theirs. The Z10 is not doing well and will follow in the footsteps of the Storm, Torch and Playbook. I suppose the Q5 could make a small dent but with the midrange iPhone and the plethora of cheap android sets not to mention the Asha 210 at $75, I see no future for the Candian icon.
    7 Jun 2013, 03:46 PM Reply Like
  • spoken like someone who obviously has not used BB10 before.
    7 Jun 2013, 03:49 PM Reply Like
  • Perhaps you should come back in to orbit rocketship9 because we have these devices for you to try on earth. Good luck :)
    7 Jun 2013, 04:31 PM Reply Like
  • I know someone who has a Z10 and loves it. Im a Nokia WP8 user myself and would not switch, but after using the Z10 I can say it is a nice system with a good user interface.
    7 Jun 2013, 03:54 PM Reply Like
  • I'm pretty happy with the user interface on the Playbook, but it's the availability of apps that killed it. Once BB10 is available for download, I believe the Playbook will return and help with Blackberry sales. They need to offer affordable devices that aren't carrier dependent. This is what made Apple strong. The iPod. How about a Z10 Wifi?
    8 Jun 2013, 12:34 AM Reply Like
  • samsung is cutting production and so is apple.who is picking up the slack??
    7 Jun 2013, 04:59 PM Reply Like
  • I wrote in a former article, that it might be good, when North-North American and North America would be united! BlackBerry and Apple in a cooperation, is something I could imagine. I don't know how it could work, but then there would be enough strike capacity for both! Perhaps they could combine their hardware, and the customers could choose, which OS they use ...
    As conclusion, it doesn't make sense, that Apple and BlackBerry will kill each other! Then only the others laugh....
    8 Jun 2013, 03:45 AM Reply Like
  • You are right, it doesn't make sense; how on earth would Apple and BlackBerry "kill" each other? Each will either sell enough to be profitable or not, which has no direct impact on the other, unless by some fluke one becomes totally dominant, which appears to be less and less likely as the competition increases.


    Combine hardware, which both OSs can run on? Nope, I don't know how that would work, either!
    8 Jun 2013, 09:31 AM Reply Like
  • Well, i only thought about to combine the strengths of both, that they can compete still better at the market! A symbiotic cooperation! ... perhaps Apple could use QNX ... BlackBerry some hardware ...
    8 Jun 2013, 09:48 AM Reply Like
  • Well, any two companies could do the same, if there was a degree of compatibility, but I just don't see it here! Apple could have bought out BBRY when they were cheaper, and may have profited from shutting it down, but it's a bit late now...


    Otherwise, I just can't see why they'd want to merge.
    8 Jun 2013, 10:43 AM Reply Like
  • Z10 production increased 2 times after release due to higher than expected demand.
    9 Jun 2013, 08:21 PM Reply Like
  • The Z10 is a wonderful phone for the low budget consumer that cannot afford a iPhone. I have tested one out and it fails in every respect to match the iPhone, starting with significantly lower grade display.
    7 Jun 2013, 05:35 PM Reply Like
  • Lol. The display is far superior to the iPhone.


    And don't get me started with its speed and OS
    7 Jun 2013, 05:38 PM Reply Like
  • The Z10 has higher res and sharper display than the iPhone. Try better next time.
    7 Jun 2013, 07:30 PM Reply Like
  • Try replacing the battery, or screen and get back to us...still waiting.
    8 Jun 2013, 12:24 AM Reply Like
  • The BlackBerry 10 phones uses QNX Neutrino microkernel RTOS technology which is far more superior (
    9 Jun 2013, 09:19 AM Reply Like
  • Dude the Z10 uses QNX Neutrino RTOS technology so it's far superior to the iPhone. You need to watch this ad:
    9 Jun 2013, 09:20 AM Reply Like
  • Silly comment. My Z10 shows two to three more bars of reception over my wife's iphone(poor girl). When hers has no reception she grabs mine to finish her conversation. The Iphone is near junk in todays market.
    9 Jun 2013, 08:21 PM Reply Like
  • IPHONE has a better keyboard than the Z10? that's funny.
    9 Jun 2013, 08:21 PM Reply Like
  • Don't know how they do this channel checking, but it is most likely a very inaccurate very of determining anything because from what I am hearing in the industry the interest and selling price is very much still there for the Z10, Don't understand how or what has motivated Misek to say it's has slowed. People just need to understand that Blackberry does not solely rely on phone sales to survive, There business is much more than that and in time it will reveal itself.
    7 Jun 2013, 06:01 PM Reply Like
  • We are having a hard time understanding Blackberry's position in the market because their popularity is more overseas then in America. It is for the business man, and those who want a higher level of security or privacy on their device. I own a Playbook, and as soon as BB10 comes out for it I know I will shelve my Tab 2. It has a better screen resolution, better camera, all it needs now is a better OS and it's back in action. With the Android acceleration the Playbook will no longer live with a handicap. I have a good feeling about Blackberry's future, hopefully they learn from Apple's mistakes. Greed is the Achilles heel of the largest corporatists.
    8 Jun 2013, 12:22 AM Reply Like
  • I don't know what to say. The proof is in the pudding. I have both iphone and z10. The iphone is used by my kids to watch minecrqft utube videos. The second is used by me for business and enterprise workstation use. They both have their purpose I suppose.
    7 Jun 2013, 07:41 PM Reply Like
  • Haven't seen this much pumping (of blackberry) since I was on porntube this morning. As if what you bought individually was in anyway representative of most other were doing! You guys forget easily that this market is basically a duopoly between Samsung and Apple.
    7 Jun 2013, 08:16 PM Reply Like
  • The tide will turn. There is room for more than two platforms especially when one is maxed out and the other a security nightmare
    7 Jun 2013, 08:19 PM Reply Like
  • But Apple isn't the stronger pole. And because of that, as i mentioned above, Apple and BlackBerry should have a cooperation!
    It makes no sense, if they want to beat each other. Then only the others laugh!
    8 Jun 2013, 05:32 AM Reply Like
  • Actually Apple is a Samsung in disguise, so your saying it's a one man show. I believe pretty soon that Blackberry, and the new made in America Windows phone will have a strong presence in the marketplace.
    9 Jun 2013, 02:50 AM Reply Like
  • A duopoly that no USA carrier likes. They want a good third option.
    9 Jun 2013, 08:21 PM Reply Like
  • Folks, if you love your Z10 or Galaxy S4 or any other Android phone or tablet, enjoy them to the fullest. Why do you feel obligated to bad-mouth the iPhone or the iOS? You cannot enjoy what you love if you spend so much time and energy in hating the iPhone.
    7 Jun 2013, 10:38 PM Reply Like
  • it's not the's Mac haters in general. After the Nightline report on the Foxconn facility that manufacturers the iPod, and their other devices saw the repercussions of Apple's insane profit margin. After the Made in America windows phone comes out we will see for sure how the American people respect humane labor practices. $4 to make and you pay $600? Kinda makes you feel like a chump...
    8 Jun 2013, 12:14 AM Reply Like
  • Z10 is better than any Iphone.


    Written on my z10.
    9 Jun 2013, 08:22 PM Reply Like
  • I think the above Z10 and S4 users are afraid that if iPhones get too popular BB and Samsung might be phased out.
    8 Jun 2013, 12:02 AM Reply Like
  • I don't own a Z10, but I would choose a Z10 over an iPhone anyday. for two reasons, one, you can change the battery, and two, it's not an Apple.
    9 Jun 2013, 02:52 AM Reply Like
  • How can you build a cheaper iPhone then $4? All they have to do is drop their prices, but I guess they want to get their cost down to .50 cents first...just wait until the made in America windows phone comes I hear taps?
    8 Jun 2013, 12:02 AM Reply Like
  • I have not read anything from Misek in a while, and would be interested to see a more complete transcript of his thoughts but I do find the working of the press release interesting.


    "Believes consumer BlackBerry Z10 (BBRY +0.5%) sales have slowed, but that Q10 sales are better than expected."


    This is the first time I can recall him coming out simply with a statement like "Believes" rather than detailing the source of his data and providing something more specific.


    Are we talking down from 1m/month to 900k/month, or down to more in the 500K/month region?


    If the Q10 is doing better than expected, is it better than the 1m/month bullish analysts predicted or the 2m/month TH suggested he believed was probable?


    What is the 'revised' monthly number for all BB10 devices combined?


    What time frame are we talking?


    Is the Q10 cannibalizing Z10 sales? Some drop in sales after preliminary pent up demand for the Z10 was satisfied could be expected since many would have been waiting for the Q10 before deciding.


    Are we talking about just US Market sales, or are we talking Global sales?


    From my perspective, this tidbit asks more questions than it answers.
    8 Jun 2013, 01:15 AM Reply Like
  • Blackberry, like the Phoenix, will arise from the ashes, and the 'arising' has already started
    9 Jun 2013, 02:20 AM Reply Like
  • If Blackberry does what Apple continuously fails to do, and thinks about their past consumers with the release of BB10 on Playbook, I will gain a higher respect for them. Their devices were always superior, but lacked important applications. With the new BB10 with Android accelaration, every Blackberry device will be a home run.
    9 Jun 2013, 02:57 AM Reply Like
  • I have Z10 and my son will get Z10 this month. Of course if A10 comes out later this year, I would get one for myself....
    9 Jun 2013, 08:20 PM Reply Like
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