UBS thinks it may be 1994 all over again. Some similarities: The Fed's actions to reflate the...
UBS thinks it may be 1994 all over again. Some similarities: The Fed's actions to reflate the economy post-2008 resemble the easy money policies that were put in place post-S&L crisis; current "lackluster" economic growth mirrors "mini-cycles"of '90-'93; 290 bps plunge in Treasury yields from '07-'12 reminiscent of 400 bps decline from '90-'94; downtrend in CPI over the past five years resembles drop from early '90s to '94. UBS' advice: Avoid "popular convergence trades" such as EM credit (EMB, EMLC), EU periphery sovereign debt (ITLT, ITLY), U.S. MBS (MBB,VMBS), and high yield (HYG, JNK).
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