Has Time Magazine rung a bell for the top?

|By:, SA News Editor

Bearish pundits have their tails in the air thanks to Time's latest cover which features a bull with a party hat and shades on under the headline, "How Wall Street Won."

The so-called "magazine cover indicator" has been a favorite of contrarians since print was invented, with Business Week's 1979 "Death of Equities" cover the granddaddy of all bell-ringers.

Paul Macrae Montgomery is the best collector and recorder around for these incidents, and he says there's an 80% chance the market will top in a month and be lower a year from now. Don't be swayed by the equivocal nature of the article - which says another crash remains possible - it's the graphic image that's of most importance. He reminds Time signalled the epochal March 2009 bottom with its March 10 "Holding On For Dear Life" cover.

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