Is ADM's bid for GrainCorp in trouble?

|By:, SA News Editor

Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) will find out whether it has received approval from Australia’s Foreign Investment Review Board for its planned A$3B acquisition of GrainCorp (GRCLF.PK) in about two months, Australia’s treasurer says.

GrainCorp shares closed today at A$12.35/share, a 6.4% discount to the A$13.20 shareholders would receive under ADM’s buyout offer, perhaps an indicator that investors are skeptical the deal will be completed.

Sizable deals that have been blocked by Australia’s FIRB in the past include the Singapore Exchange's proposed 2011 A$8.4B takeover of the Australian Stock Exchange and Shell's 2001 attempt to buy Woodside Petroleum for A$10B.

Separately, Illinois Gov. Pat Quinn says he will veto any legislation with special tax incentives for ADM to keep its global headquarters in the state until legislators approve a fix for the pension crisis.