- Putative incoming Fed chief Janet Yellen - of the firm belief the headline unemployment rate is not telling the full tale of the weak U.S.employment situation, and the declining labor force participation rate is a cyclical, not secular phenomenon - may be less impressed than most with today's jobs headlines.
- The labor force participation rate fell to 62.8% from 63.2% in September and 63.8% a year ago.
- The broader U-6 unemployment rate grew to 13.8% from 13.6% in September, and now barely improved from a year ago when it stood at 13.9%. The headline unemployment rate of 7.3% is down from 7.9% a year ago.
- Total of those not in the labor force of 91.5M compares to 88.2M a year ago. The employment-to-population ratio of 58.3% is down from 58.6% in September and 58.7% a year ago.
- Treasury yields continue to move higher, the 10-year now up 14 bps to 2.74%. The December 2016 Eurodollar futures contract is off 13 bps to 97.95, pricing in about 200 bps of Fed tightening between now and then.
- Treasury ETFs: TBT, TLT, TMV, SHY, IEF, TBF, PST, EDV, TTT, TMF, ZROZ, TLH, SBND, IEI, DLBS, TYO, DTYS, VGLT, UST, BIL, SHV, UBT, TLO, TBX, VGSH, VGIT, GSY, LBND, FSA, TYD, SCHR, DTYL, SCHO, ITE, TYBS, TENZ, FIVZ, SST, TUZ, DTUS, DTUL, DFVL, TBZ, DLBL, DFVS, TYNS
What will Fed doves make of declining participation rate?
Nov 8 2013, 09:31 ET