A check of the mortgage REITs following Goldman's interestingly-timed initiation of Annaly (NLY -1.6%) and American Capital Mortgage (AGNC -1.1%) with Sells finds the sector (REM -0.8%) again underperforming the broad market.
To review: Annaly is off about 40% in 8 months and American Capital is off about 42% in 7 months. Yes, higher interest rates have delivered a hit to their portfolios (which tend to be longish in duration), but investor distaste for the names also has both trading at roughly 20% discounts to their book values.
So is the call late? Maybe. On the other hand, one well-known hedge funder defines a 50% loss as holding a stock that goes from being down 80% to being down 90%.