Seeking Alpha

Citrix outperforms as Stifel hikes PT; VMware also rallying

  • Stifel's Brad Reback has raised his Citrix (CTXS +2.4%) PT to $74 from $70, while reiterating a Buy. Citrix has topped $60, and virtualization archrival VMware (VMW +2.9%) has rallied above $86.
  • Reback's talks with Citrix's IR chief strengthened his belief the company's "uneven performance" (highlighted by its Q3 warning) is only due to sales execution and cyclical (rather than secular) headwinds. He also declares Amazon's WorkSpaces cloud PC virtualization service "more of a side-show than a meaningful enterprise threat, especially over the near-to-medium term."
  • Both Citrix and VMware sold off when WorkSpaces was first announced. Though Reback disagreed, several analysts argued WorkSpaces could be a long-term threat, as its feature set grows.
  • Reback likes the fact Citrix only trades at 10.8x his 2014 free cash flow estimate of $876.4M, and sees demand for Citrix's mobile software and the latest version of its XenDesktop PC virtualization platform acting as potential catalysts.
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