Emerging markets may seem cheap, but now's not the time to boost holdings, says Goldman in a report titled: Emerging Markets: As The Tide Goes Out. Those with a "moderate" tolerance for risk should cut exposure by a third - from 9% to 6% - says the team.
The fast growth in EM from 2003-2007 was the result of a mix of economic circumstances not likely to be repeated, says Goldman. Instead, there's been a "seismic shift" in sentiment as returns were not as attractive as expected, growth rates were not as sustainable as imagined, and countries were not as stable as believed.
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