Seeking Alpha

How much lower can yen go?

  • Barring a big move higher in the next couple of sessions, the yen (FXY -0.2%) appears set to end 2013 pretty close to the year's low, the dollar buying more than ¥104 this morning vs. less than ¥80 in November 2012.
  • "We do not believe that the current pace of yen depreciation is sustainable," says JPMorgan's Junya Tanasa, expecting an unwind of the popular Nikkei long/yen short trade at some point in 2014.
  • For a contrary view, check out Kyle Bass, who contends the real move lower in the yen hasn't even begun yet. He's calling for dollar/yen rising all the way to ¥200 and - as we've all seen - once currencies get a head of steam going in a certain direction, no one can be sure of where the move will stop. ¥350? Why not?
  • Japan ETFs: DXJ, EWJ, FXY, YCS, JGBS, JGBD, DFJ, JYN, NKY, DBJP, EZJ, EWV, YCL, SCJ, JSC, ITF, JGBL, JPP, DXJS, JPNL, JGBT, JPNS, FJP, JGBB
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Comments (1)
  • Chris DeMuth Jr.
    , contributor
    Comments (7325) | Send Message
     
    Executing the Yen trade with ETFs: http://seekingalpha.co...
    27 Dec 2013, 10:12 AM Reply Like
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