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Falling gasoline prices hurts big oil's plea for U.S. crude exports

  • Big oil's (NYSE:XOM) push to export U.S. oil overseas is facing a new obstacle: falling gasoline prices.
  • A flood of new oil from Texas to the Great Plains has swamped refineries, driving down pump prices 10% since March while global oil prices have hovered at ~$107/bbl; it suggests the world crude market is having waning influence on U.S. gasoline, which instead is beginning to track lower-priced domestic oil.
  • As cheaper oil translates to cheaper gasoline, the likes of Exxon (XOM) and Conoco (NYSE:COP) will have a tougher time convincing U.S. lawmakers that ending export restrictions would benefit the country, says RBN Energy's Sandy Fielden, since "the most obvious thing that’s going to happen [given more exports] is that crude prices will go up and so will gasoline."
  • Lifting strict export limits would halt the decline in U.S. crude prices while costing motorists as much as $10B/year in higher fuel prices, according to Barclays.
  • ETFs: USO, OIL, UCO, SCO, UGA, DBO, DTO, CRUD, USL, DNO, UWTI, SZO, OTC:DWTI, OLO, OLEM, TWTI.

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