- Raymond James maintains its bearish stance on offshore drillers and cuts its estimated 2015 sector EPS by ~18% while noting that this a typical cyclical slowdown and not permanent.
- The firm estimates the industry needs to cold stack ~6% of both the floater and jackup fleet over the next three years to maintain 90% utilization; assuming the pace of newbuilds slows, this should improve the supply/demand dynamics by 2017.
- Rowan Cos. (RDC +0.2%) earns an upgrade to Outperform, joining Pacific Drilling (PACD -1.9%) and Ocean Rig UDW (ORIG -2.1%) as drillers who would rank atop the list of any would-be acquirer given the high spec nature of the fleets.
- Atwood Oceanics (ATW -4.1%), Ensco (ESV -2.4%) and Noble Corp. (NE -0.3%) are downgraded to Market Perform, as offshore stocks are in “full-blown meltdown mode."
- The firm maintains Transocean (RIG -1.9%), Diamond Offshore (DO -1.6%) and Hercules Offshore (HERO +0.4%) at Market Perform, noting that “lower quality assets are too risky as we head into a sloppy market."
Raymond James stays bearish on drillers but upgrades Rowan
Feb 3 2014, 15:39 ET