"When we first launched coverage of Tekmira (TKMR +8.9%) on June 18, 2013 at $4.80 we modeled our expectations with a high degree of conservatism using a 30% risk rate across the complete model," says analyst Jason Kolbert. "We are now lowering that discount rate from 30% to 15%."
The new price target of $31 is up from $17 previously.
The lower discount rate is thanks to progress of Tekmira partners Alnylam (ALNY -1.1%), Marqibo, and Monsanto, and the ever-rising evidence of the viability of SiRNA and the platform required to deliver it. He notes the gains in Isis Pharma last week amid preliminary test data, and the continued rise in Alnylam since Sanofi agreed to pay $700M for access to rare-disease treatments, and took a 12% stake in the company.