Seeking Alpha

Exelon boosted as Credit Suisse says bottom is in

Comments (5)
  • Purple_K
    , contributor
    Comments (394) | Send Message
    Wow phenomenal call Credit Suisse! Calling the bottom after a 19% move up OFF BOTTOM.


    To whit:


    This is why analysts are worthless, and why you're better off managing your own money.
    21 Mar, 11:21 AM Reply Like
  • Donald Johnson
    , contributor
    Comments (459) | Send Message
    MorningStar's estimated fair value for EXC has been at about $42 for a long time. M* says consider selling at $56.70.'s discounted cash flow fair value estimate is $37 with a range of $30 to $44.


    The still bearish EXC point and figure chart price objective still is $13. Support is at $26 and resistance is at $37 on the PNF chart. The 200-day moving average is $33.38.


    EXC July 32 calls are $1.45 bid, $1.55 ask with a 57% probability that the stock will be above $32 by mid July when the July contract expires. The probability that it will top $34 is 44%; $35, 22%; $36, 12%. Might be smart to do a covered call at the $35 or $36 July strikes.


    But I'm glad I haven't written covered calls on EXC. It would have been called away and I would have missed this move.
    21 Mar, 11:51 AM Reply Like
  • Purple_K
    , contributor
    Comments (394) | Send Message
    Not sure if youre smacking me or agreeing, but my point, of course, is that "calling the bottom" months after it's happened isn't exactly market augury
    21 Mar, 11:56 AM Reply Like
    , contributor
    Comments (1141) | Send Message
    Purple I agree:


    there are lots of good thinking people who open their electric bills every day and see how much it has gone up in last year. This means these electric companies are making lots more $ and also paying great dividends. The overall market is slowing down and high risk stocks are no longer in a good risk/reward position.


    I moved a lot of my $ away from higher risk stocks in Jan/Feb and moved into utilities with a good part of that. My most recent buy of (FE) and (EXC) for beaten down stocks both at very long term bottom support levels have turned.


    If they looked at long term trends and price support areas they would have seen this and moved price targets up much more.


    21 Mar, 11:40 AM Reply Like
  • Purple_K
    , contributor
    Comments (394) | Send Message
    10-4 on that. I'm just always baffled why people place so much weight behind what (usually agenda-driven) analysts have to say. They are so often a market contraindicator that you'd think people would learn by now.
    21 Mar, 11:57 AM Reply Like
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