"Holy Alibaba!" exclaims Bernstein's Carlos Kirjner after looking at the Q4 numbers disclosed by Yahoo (YHOO +5.7%) yesterday. He now values the Chinese e-commerce giant at $245B - 25x estimated 2016 earnings of $9.5B for its core Taobao and Tmall sites + a $7.5B valuation for Alibaba.com and Alipay. Taobao/Tmall profits are now expected to grow 41% in 2015, and 28% in 2016.
Looking at Yahoo itself, UBS (Buy) is pleased with the top-line impact of the company's in-stream ads (now 20% of display ad volume). It's less happy with Yahoo's vague CC remarks (transcript) about the tax impact of Alibaba share sales and future cash returns, EBITDA weakness (due to growth investments), and high headcount.
SunTrust (Buy) observes rising mobile ad sales (along with in-stream and premium ads) helped display impressions rise 7%, and that the Americas (where new ad products have been launched first) is outperforming.
Marissa Mayer mentioned on the CC Yahoo's news app is respectively ranked #1 and #2 in the news app category on the App Store and Google Play, that most mobile search metrics rose nearly 100% Y/Y, and that video streams (boosted by the Olympics and recent content deals) rose 30% Q/Q.