- Kinder Morgan Partners (KMP -0.8%) is reiterated with an Underweight rating and $82 price target at Morgan Stanley, which says it can't see KMP outperforming peers on distribution growth that is below the industry average.
- Acknowledging KMP's cash flow stability from quality pipeline assets and geographic diversity, the firm sees accretion via projects and acquisitions as limited by a large asset base and a high general partner cash incentive share (45%-plus) which caps distribution growth upside.
- The firm says KMP's oil production business (15%-20% of cash flow) creates material future asset/reserve replacement risk, and dropdowns from KMI (into KMP and EPB) likely will be finished by 2014, creating the need to continue to develop new organic projects.
- KMI +1.2%, KMR +0.5%, EPB +2.2%.
Morgan Stanley sees limited Kinder Morgan distribution growth upside
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