Seeking Alpha

Mega caps to take over market leadership?

  • A "regime change" is at hand, argue two BAML technicians, with mega caps set to take over leadership of the market from small caps.
  • The iShares S&P 100 ETF (OEF) is up 1.3% YTD vs. the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) down 1.5%. Over both 5- and 10-year horizons, however, the small caps are comfortably ahead.
  • "Mega caps are set up for relative leadership while small caps are breaking relative support and set up for a loss of leadership," setting up a "regime change for the rally that began in late 2012 which was led by small caps and lagged by mega caps."
  • ETFs: IWM, TZA, TNA, UWM, VB, IJR, SLY, RWJ, URTY, SCHA, TWM, RWM, SRTY, OEF, DWAS, SAA, MGC, VTWO, XLG, SDD, VIOO, RSCO, JKJ, SBB, FYX, XSLV, EWRS, TWOK, IWL, SMLV, FMK, PXSC
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