Fortess' Novogratz pitches Brazil at Ira Sohn


Leading off the 2014 Ira Sohn conference, Fortress Investment Group's (FIG -0.8%) Mike Novogratz says it's a pretty challenging macro environment without many great themes. One he does like though, is Brazil, where - after four tough years - business confidence is low, consumers are levered up, the government is fiscally stretched, and inflation is high ... "It's so bad, it's good."

One caveat would be the fall re-election of Dilma Rousseff, he says, and the country is in for a "long, long dark period" if she pulls it off (her numbers though, seem to be sliding on a near-daily basis).

Perhaps anticipating a Rousseff defeat, not to mention the end of a long rate-hike cycle, the Bovespa has been maybe the strongest reasonably-sized market on the planet of late, up almost 20% since mid-March.

ETFs: EWZ, BRF, BRXX, EWZS, BRAQ, BRAZ, BRZU, BZQ, BRAF, UBR, BRZS, DBBR, FBZ

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