More pain ahead for small-caps, Credit Suisse says

|By:, SA News Editor

Small-cap stocks enjoyed a bit of a bounce yesterday but they've lagged the broader market this year, and Credit Suisse predicts more pain ahead.

Even though many individual growth stocks have been hit much harder, the Russell 2000 has dropped only ~9% from its early March 2014 peak; average and median pullbacks in the Russell 2000 since the mid-1990s have been a respective 21% and 14%, so Credit Suisse thinks the historical track record points to the Russell approaching 1,000 (vs. its YTD peak of 1,209 and Friday's close of 1,097) before finding a bottom.

The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) is down ~5% YTD, with its biggest losers - MLI, MDSO, FNGN, ISIS - all plunging at least 40% so far.

Meanwhile, the S&P continues to hold up relatively well, and Citigroup’s Tobias Levkovich thinks easier lending standards for bigger companies is an important factor explaining large-cap outperformance; Bespoke sees large-cap stability holding just as much weight as the argument that weakness in momentum names eventually will spill over to the broad market.

ETFs: IWM, TZA, TNA, UWM, VB, VBK, URTY, SCHA, TWM, IWO, RWM, SRTY, DWAS, VTWO, JKJ, FYX, VTWG, UKK, SKK, EWRS, JKK, TWOK, SMLV, PXSC, FYC, PXSG